Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 19/09, 16:00

Prediction: Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC

Team pages: Carrick Rangers · Larne FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Carrick Rangers1.43

Larne FC1.43

1X2

36% 27% 36%

Carrick Rangers Draw Larne FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Carrick Rangers 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLLD

Larne FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWDWDWWWW

Head-to-head

Carrick Rangers 2–1–3 Larne FC (6 last)

Larne FC2-3Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers1-2Larne FC
Carrick Rangers1-1Larne FC
Larne FC2-0Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers1-0Larne FC
Carrick Rangers1-2Larne FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Larne FC (rating 1508 vs 1563).
H2H favours Larne FC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Carrick Rangers	Larne FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	2 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.9 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5	1.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.6	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.87

Under 2.51.92

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 23:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.34 → 3.34	Pinn 3.34
X	3.79 → 3.79	Pinn 3.79
2	1.98 → 1.98	Pinn 1.98

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.8%

Time*	1	X	2
22:14 +52’	3.34	3.79	1.98

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Carrick Rangers 2–1–3 Larne FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Larne FC	2-3 HT 0-3	Carrick Rangers
26/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	1-2 HT 0-0	Larne FC
18/11/25 Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield	Carrick Rangers	1-1 HT 1-0	Larne FC
20/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Larne FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Carrick Rangers
04/03/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	1-0 HT 0-0	Larne FC
04/02/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	1-2 HT 1-0	Larne FC

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	6	5	1	0	15	4	16
2	Linfield	6	5	0	1	7	4	15
3	Cliftonville	6	4	0	2	11	6	12
4	Dungannon Swifts	6	4	0	2	8	4	12
5	Larne FC	4	3	1	0	5	1	10
6	Carrick Rangers	6	3	0	3	8	7	9
7	Crusaders	6	3	0	3	10	12	9
8	Glentoran	6	2	1	3	8	7	7
9	Ballymena Utd	5	1	1	3	8	9	4
10	Limavady United	5	1	0	4	3	9	3
11	Bangor FC	6	0	2	4	3	13	2
12	Portadown	6	0	0	6	3	13	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Carrick Rangers	Larne FC
Cliftonville	1-3 L	2-0 W
Linfield	0-1 L	2-0 W
Bangor FC	4-0 W	1-0 W
Coleraine	0-2 L	0-0 D
Portadown	1-0 W	2-0 W
Dungannon Swifts	1-3 L	8-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Larne FC (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Carrick Rangers

WWLWWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	1-3	8	5	L
05/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
29/08	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
22/08	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	9	4	L
15/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
06/05	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-3	1	3	L
25/04	Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	3-2	7	4	W
18/04	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-0	5	0	W

Larne FC

WLWDWDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-0	7	2	W
12/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
08/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
04/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-1	4	4	W
15/08	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
25/04	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	3-0	8-0	5	2	W
17/04	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
11/04	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
07/04	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-4	2	3	L
28/03	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	7	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Carrick Rangers win (36%). Probabilities: Carrick Rangers 36%, draw 27%, Larne FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Carrick Rangers 1.43 · Larne FC 1.43), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Carrick Rangers vs Larne FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.