Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 26/09, 16:00
Prediction: Crusaders vs Bangor FC
Team pages: Crusaders · Bangor FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Crusaders1.99
Bangor FC1.05
1X2
Crusaders
Draw
Bangor FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Crusaders
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Bangor FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Crusaders
3–2–1
Bangor FC
(6 last)
- Crusaders1-1Bangor FC
- Crusaders2-2Bangor FC
- Bangor FC2-1Crusaders
- Bangor FC1-3Crusaders
- Bangor FC1-2Crusaders
- Bangor FC0-2Crusaders
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crusaders (rating 1520 vs 1435).
- H2H favours Crusaders: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Crusaders | Bangor FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.3 | 1.3 / 3.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Crusaders 3–2–1 Bangor FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bangor FC |
| 14/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Bangor FC |
| 18/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Bangor FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Crusaders |
| 19/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Bangor FC | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Crusaders |
| 03/02/23 Northern Ireland Cup | Bangor FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Crusaders |
| 07/02/15 Northern Ireland Cup | Bangor FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Crusaders |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 5 | 22 |
| 2 | Linfield | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Larne FC | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 16 |
| 4 | Dungannon Swifts | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cliftonville | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Crusaders | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Glentoran | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Carrick Rangers | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 10 |
| 9 | Ballymena Utd | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 5 |
| 12 | Portadown | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Crusaders | Bangor FC |
|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 3-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Limavady United | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Glentoran | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Portadown | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Ballymena Utd | 2-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Cliftonville | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Crusaders (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Crusaders
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/09 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
Bangor FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/09 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 08/09 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Crusaders vs Bangor FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Crusaders win (58%). Probabilities: Crusaders 58%, draw 23%, Bangor FC 19%.
How many goals are expected in Crusaders vs Bangor FC?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Crusaders 1.99 · Bangor FC 1.05), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Crusaders vs Bangor FC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.