Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 25/09, 20:45

Prediction: Coleraine vs Linfield

Team pages: Coleraine · Linfield

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Coleraine1.85

Linfield1.01

1X2

56% 25% 19%

Coleraine Draw Linfield

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Coleraine 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

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Linfield 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Coleraine 4–2–0 Linfield (6 last)

Linfield0-3Coleraine
Coleraine3-1Linfield
Linfield1-1Coleraine
Coleraine2-2Linfield
Coleraine1-0Linfield
Linfield0-2Coleraine

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleraine (rating 1609 vs 1538).
H2H favours Coleraine: 4-2-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Coleraine	Linfield
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 0.7	1.3 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.9 / 5.8	2.9 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.97

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:06

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.93 → 1.93	Pinn 1.93
X	3.65 → 3.65	Pinn 3.65
2	3.63 → 3.63	Pinn 3.63

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:50 +556’	1.93	3.65	3.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Coleraine 4–2–0 Linfield

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	0-3 HT 0-2	Coleraine
30/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Coleraine	3-1 HT 0-0	Linfield
08/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	1-1 HT 0-0	Coleraine
28/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Coleraine	2-2 HT 0-2	Linfield
26/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Coleraine	1-0 HT 1-0	Linfield
22/02/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	0-2 HT 0-1	Coleraine

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	8	7	1	0	18	5	22
2	Linfield	8	6	1	1	9	5	19
3	Larne FC	6	5	1	0	12	3	16
4	Dungannon Swifts	8	4	1	3	9	8	13
5	Cliftonville	8	4	0	4	12	10	12
6	Crusaders	8	4	0	4	13	13	12
7	Glentoran	8	3	1	4	11	10	10
8	Carrick Rangers	8	3	1	4	11	13	10
9	Ballymena Utd	7	1	3	3	10	11	6
10	Limavady United	7	2	0	5	6	11	6
11	Bangor FC	8	1	2	5	7	17	5
12	Portadown	8	0	1	7	5	17	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Coleraine	Linfield
Limavady United	1-0 W	2-0 W
Glentoran	2-1 W	2-1 W
Ballymena Utd	3-2 W	0-3 L
Crusaders	4-1 W	1-0 W
Portadown	3-0 W	1-1 D
Carrick Rangers	2-0 W	1-0 W
Dungannon Swifts	3-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 0 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Coleraine (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coleraine

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
15/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
11/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-2	8	3	W
05/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
28/08	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-0	13	2	W
22/08	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	1	4	W
15/08	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
08/08	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-1	10	2	W
25/04	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	6-2	0	0	W
18/04	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-0	8	0	W

Linfield

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
15/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
12/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
29/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
21/08	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
15/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	6	7	W
08/08	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-3	7	0	L
12/05	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-1	3	4	W
25/04	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	1-2	7	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coleraine vs Linfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Coleraine win (56%). Probabilities: Coleraine 56%, draw 25%, Linfield 19%.

How many goals are expected in Coleraine vs Linfield?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Coleraine 1.85 · Linfield 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Coleraine vs Linfield?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.