Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 26/09, 16:00
Prediction: Ballymena Utd vs Portadown
Team pages: Ballymena Utd · Portadown
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Ballymena Utd1.75
Portadown1.13
1X2
Ballymena Utd
Draw
Portadown
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Ballymena Utd
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Portadown
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ballymena Utd
2–1–3
Portadown
(6 last)
- Ballymena Utd1-2Portadown
- Ballymena Utd1-1Portadown
- Portadown1-0Ballymena Utd
- Portadown0-2Ballymena Utd
- Portadown2-1Ballymena Utd
- Ballymena Utd2-0Portadown
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Portadown: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ballymena Utd | Portadown | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 1.8 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballymena Utd 2–1–3 Portadown
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Portadown |
| 07/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Portadown |
| 13/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ballymena Utd |
| 19/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Ballymena Utd |
| 26/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Portadown | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Ballymena Utd |
| 22/02/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Portadown |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 5 | 19 |
| 2 | Linfield | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 19 |
| 3 | Larne FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 13 |
| 4 | Dungannon Swifts | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cliftonville | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
| 6 | Crusaders | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 7 | Glentoran | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| 8 | Carrick Rangers | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Ballymena Utd | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 6 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 5 |
| 12 | Portadown | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 1 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ballymena Utd | Portadown |
|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Carrick Rangers | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Coleraine | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Bangor FC | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Crusaders | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Linfield | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Ballymena Utd (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ballymena Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 11/09 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
Portadown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 15/09 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 28/08 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/08 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ballymena Utd vs Portadown?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ballymena Utd win (51%). Probabilities: Ballymena Utd 51%, draw 26%, Portadown 23%.
How many goals are expected in Ballymena Utd vs Portadown?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Ballymena Utd 1.75 · Portadown 1.13), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ballymena Utd vs Portadown?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.