Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: Linfield vs Crusaders
Team pages: Linfield · Crusaders
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.72Total
Linfield1.57
Crusaders1.15
1X2
Linfield
Draw
Crusaders
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Linfield
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Crusaders
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Linfield
6–0
Crusaders
(6 last)
- Crusaders0-1Linfield
- Linfield4-0Crusaders
- Linfield1-0Crusaders
- Linfield3-1Crusaders
- Crusaders0-2Linfield
- Linfield2-1Crusaders
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Linfield: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Linfield | Crusaders | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 2.1 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Linfield 6–0–0 Crusaders
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Linfield |
| 13/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Linfield | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Crusaders |
| 25/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Linfield | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Crusaders |
| 01/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Linfield | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Crusaders |
| 07/03/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Crusaders | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Linfield |
| 28/01/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Linfield | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Crusaders |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Linfield | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Cliftonville | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Dungannon Swifts | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Larne FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Crusaders | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Glentoran | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Ballymena Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 2 |
| 12 | Portadown | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Linfield | Crusaders |
|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Limavady United | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Cliftonville | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Glentoran | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Ballymena Utd | 0-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Coleraine | 0-3 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Linfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 12/05 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 11/04 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Crusaders
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
3-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 11/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
3-0 | 4-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Linfield vs Crusaders?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Linfield win (46%). Probabilities: Linfield 46%, draw 27%, Crusaders 27%.
How many goals are expected in Linfield vs Crusaders?
The model expects 2.72 goals (Linfield 1.57 · Crusaders 1.15), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Linfield vs Crusaders?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.