Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers

Team pages: Glentoran · Carrick Rangers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

Glentoran1.96

Carrick Rangers1.5

1X2

48% 24% 29%

Glentoran Draw Carrick Rangers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Glentoran 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLWLLDLW

Carrick Rangers 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLLDL

Head-to-head

Glentoran 2–4–0 Carrick Rangers (6 last)

Glentoran1-0Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers0-7Glentoran
Carrick Rangers2-2Glentoran
Glentoran1-1Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers0-0Glentoran
Glentoran1-1Carrick Rangers

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Glentoran: 2-4-0.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Glentoran	Carrick Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.4	2.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.7

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.63 → 1.66▲	Pinn 1.66
X	4.00 → 3.95▼	Pinn 3.95
2	4.82 → 4.65▼	Pinn 4.65

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:16 +530’	1.63	4.00	4.82
13:26 +40’	1.66▲	3.95▼	4.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Glentoran 2–4–0 Carrick Rangers

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
03/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Glentoran	1-0 HT 0-0	Carrick Rangers
03/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	0-7 HT 0-4	Glentoran
14/10/25 Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield	Carrick Rangers	2-2 HT 1-0	Glentoran
30/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Glentoran	1-1 HT 1-1	Carrick Rangers
15/03/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	0-0 HT 0-0	Glentoran
19/10/24 Northern Ireland Premier	Glentoran	1-1 HT 1-0	Carrick Rangers

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	8	7	1	0	18	5	22
2	Linfield	8	6	1	1	9	5	19
3	Larne FC	6	5	1	0	12	3	16
4	Dungannon Swifts	8	4	1	3	9	8	13
5	Cliftonville	8	4	0	4	12	10	12
6	Crusaders	8	4	0	4	13	13	12
7	Glentoran	8	3	1	4	11	10	10
8	Carrick Rangers	8	3	1	4	11	13	10
9	Ballymena Utd	7	1	3	3	10	11	6
10	Limavady United	7	2	0	5	6	11	6
11	Bangor FC	8	1	2	5	7	17	5
12	Portadown	8	0	1	7	5	17	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Glentoran	Carrick Rangers
Cliftonville	2-1 W	1-3 L
Coleraine	1-2 L	0-2 L
Bangor FC	1-1 D	4-0 W
Larne FC	1-2 L	2-5 L
Ballymena Utd	2-0 W	1-1 D
Linfield	1-2 L	0-1 L
Limavady United	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Glentoran (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Glentoran

DLWLWLLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	2-1	12	5	W
15/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
12/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-1	12	1	D
04/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
29/08	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
21/08	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	9	4	W
15/08	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	1	7	L
08/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
25/04	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	2-6	2	0	L
17/04	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	8	4	D

Carrick Rangers

WLWWLWLLDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	2-3	2-5	11	4	L
15/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	1-3	8	5	L
05/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
29/08	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
22/08	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	9	4	L
15/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/08	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
06/05	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-3	1	3	L
25/04	Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	3-2	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Glentoran win (48%). Probabilities: Glentoran 48%, draw 24%, Carrick Rangers 29%.

How many goals are expected in Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers?

The model expects 3.46 goals (Glentoran 1.96 · Carrick Rangers 1.5), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Glentoran vs Carrick Rangers?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.