Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 12/09, 16:00
Prediction: Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville
Team pages: Carrick Rangers · Cliftonville
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Carrick Rangers1.95
Cliftonville1.15
1X2
Carrick Rangers
Draw
Cliftonville
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Carrick Rangers
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Cliftonville
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Carrick Rangers
1–1–4
Cliftonville
(6 last)
- Carrick Rangers1-1Cliftonville
- Cliftonville1-4Carrick Rangers
- Carrick Rangers0-1Cliftonville
- Carrick Rangers1-2Cliftonville
- Carrick Rangers1-3Cliftonville
- Cliftonville3-0Carrick Rangers
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carrick Rangers (rating 1543 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Cliftonville: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5 | 2.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.5 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carrick Rangers 1–1–4 Cliftonville
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/01/26 Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield | Carrick Rangers | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Cliftonville |
| 17/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Carrick Rangers |
| 25/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Carrick Rangers | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Cliftonville |
| 06/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Carrick Rangers | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Cliftonville |
| 01/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Carrick Rangers | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Cliftonville |
| 22/03/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Cliftonville | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Carrick Rangers |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Dungannon Swifts | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Linfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Cliftonville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Crusaders | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Glentoran | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Larne FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ballymena Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Bangor FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 | Portadown | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Carrick Rangers | Cliftonville |
|---|---|---|
| Linfield | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Bangor FC | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Coleraine | 0-2 L | 2-6 L |
| Portadown | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Dungannon Swifts | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Carrick Rangers (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carrick Rangers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 06/05 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 07/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
Cliftonville
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
2-4 | 2-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 07/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Carrick Rangers win (55%). Probabilities: Carrick Rangers 55%, draw 24%, Cliftonville 21%.
How many goals are expected in Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville?
The model expects 3.1 goals (Carrick Rangers 1.95 · Cliftonville 1.15), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Carrick Rangers vs Cliftonville?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.