Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 08/09, 20:45
Prediction: Larne FC vs Bangor FC
Team pages: Larne FC · Bangor FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Larne FC2.03
Bangor FC0.7
1X2
Larne FC
Draw
Bangor FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Larne FC
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Bangor FC
1-4-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Larne FC
5–1–0
Bangor FC
(6 last)
- Larne FC2-1Bangor FC
- Larne FC2-1Bangor FC
- Larne FC1-1Bangor FC
- Bangor FC0-2Larne FC
- Larne FC3-0Bangor FC
- Bangor FC0-6Larne FC
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Larne FC (rating 1569 vs 1424).
- H2H favours Larne FC: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Larne FC | Bangor FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.1 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 3.8 | 0.7 / 2.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Larne FC 5–1–0 Bangor FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Larne FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Bangor FC |
| 04/11/25 Northern Ireland League Cup | Larne FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Bangor FC |
| 25/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Larne FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bangor FC |
| 06/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Bangor FC | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Larne FC |
| 10/10/23 Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield | Larne FC | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Bangor FC |
| 27/06/23 Club Friendly List | Bangor FC | 0-6 HT 0-4 | Larne FC |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Dungannon Swifts | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Linfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Cliftonville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Crusaders | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Glentoran | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Larne FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ballymena Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Bangor FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 | Portadown | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Larne FC | Bangor FC |
|---|---|---|
| Dungannon Swifts | 8-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Cliftonville | 2-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Glenavon | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Ballymena Utd | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Larne FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Larne FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
3-0 | 8-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/04 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 20/03 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 13/03 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 28/02 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Bangor FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/08 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 15/04 | Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 07/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Larne FC vs Bangor FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Larne FC win (68%). Probabilities: Larne FC 68%, draw 21%, Bangor FC 11%.
How many goals are expected in Larne FC vs Bangor FC?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Larne FC 2.03 · Bangor FC 0.7), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Larne FC vs Bangor FC?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.