Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 11/09, 20:45
Prediction: Coleraine vs Ballymena Utd
Team pages: Coleraine · Ballymena Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.19Total
Coleraine2.1
Ballymena Utd1.09
1X2
Coleraine
Draw
Ballymena Utd
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Coleraine
9-1-0 (W-D-L)
Ballymena Utd
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Coleraine
4–1–1
Ballymena Utd
(6 last)
- Coleraine1-0Ballymena Utd
- Ballymena Utd2-0Coleraine
- Ballymena Utd1-3Coleraine
- Coleraine2-2Ballymena Utd
- Ballymena Utd0-1Coleraine
- Coleraine4-2Ballymena Utd
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleraine (rating 1626 vs 1529).
- H2H favours Coleraine: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Coleraine | Ballymena Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.3 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 5.6 | 2.1 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 2.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Coleraine 4–1–1 Ballymena Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ballymena Utd |
| 26/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Coleraine |
| 11/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Coleraine |
| 26/12/24 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Ballymena Utd |
| 19/10/24 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Coleraine |
| 16/08/24 Northern Ireland Premier | Coleraine | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Ballymena Utd |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | Dungannon Swifts | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Linfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Cliftonville | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 6 | Crusaders | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
| 7 | Glentoran | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 8 | Larne FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Ballymena Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Bangor FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 1 |
| 11 | Limavady United | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 | Portadown | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Coleraine | Ballymena Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Crusaders | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Portadown | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Carrick Rangers | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Glentoran | 6-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Linfield | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Cliftonville | 6-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Coleraine (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Coleraine
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 6-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 11/04 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
4-2 | 6-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 07/04 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
Ballymena Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 07/04 | Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 21/03 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Coleraine vs Ballymena Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Coleraine win (60%). Probabilities: Coleraine 60%, draw 22%, Ballymena Utd 18%.
How many goals are expected in Coleraine vs Ballymena Utd?
The model expects 3.19 goals (Coleraine 2.1 · Ballymena Utd 1.09), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Coleraine vs Ballymena Utd?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.