Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: Glentoran vs Bangor FC

Team pages: Glentoran · Bangor FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Glentoran2.54

Bangor FC0.67

1X2

78% 15% 7%

Glentoran Draw Bangor FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Glentoran 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWDLWLWLL

Bangor FC 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

WDDDLLLLLD

Head-to-head

Glentoran 3–1–1 Bangor FC (5 last)

Bangor FC0-4Glentoran
Bangor FC1-1Glentoran
Glentoran1-0Bangor FC
Bangor FC3-1Glentoran
Glentoran4-1Bangor FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Glentoran 1510 · Bangor FC 1425

	Glentoran	Draw	Bangor FC
Our model	77%	16%	7%
Market	78%	15%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Glentoran (rating 1510 vs 1425).
H2H favours Glentoran: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Glentoran	Bangor FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	0.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.3	0.7 / 2.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.17

X6.25

212.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.95

2 (+2)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.17	Bet365 1.17
X	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25
2	12.00 → 12.00	Bet365 12.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:19 +3’	1.17	6.25	12.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Glentoran 3–1–1 Bangor FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/03/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	0-4 HT 0-2	Glentoran
28/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Glentoran
16/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Glentoran	1-0 HT 0-0	Bangor FC
01/03/25 Northern Ireland Cup	Bangor FC	3-1 HT 3-0	Glentoran
08/07/23 UK Friendlies	Glentoran	4-1 HT 1-1	Bangor FC

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	5	4	1	0	12	2	13
2	Dungannon Swifts	5	4	0	1	8	3	12
3	Linfield	5	4	0	1	6	4	12
4	Cliftonville	5	3	0	2	8	5	9
5	Carrick Rangers	5	3	0	2	7	4	9
6	Crusaders	5	3	0	2	9	10	9
7	Glentoran	5	2	0	3	7	6	6
8	Larne FC	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
9	Ballymena Utd	4	1	1	2	6	6	4
10	Bangor FC	4	0	1	3	2	11	1
11	Limavady United	4	0	0	4	1	8	0
12	Portadown	5	0	0	5	3	11	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Glentoran	Bangor FC
Crusaders	1-2 L	1-1 D
Ballymena Utd	2-0 W	2-2 D
Dungannon Swifts	5-0 W	0-2 L
Cliftonville	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Glentoran (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Glentoran

DWWDLWLWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
29/08	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
21/08	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	9	4	W
15/08	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	1	7	L
08/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	5	5	W
25/04	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	2-6	2	0	L
17/04	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
11/04	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	3-0	5-0	9	3	W
07/04	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-1	3	4	W
28/03	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-1	8	2	D

Bangor FC

WDDDLLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	2-2	4	4	D
29/08	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-4	5	3	L
22/08	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
15/08	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
25/04	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	2-4	1	0	L
18/04	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	0-3	2	0	L
15/04	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
11/04	Glenavon Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
07/04	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	0	2	D
21/03	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-0	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Glentoran vs Bangor FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Glentoran win (78%). Probabilities: Glentoran 78%, draw 15%, Bangor FC 7%.

How many goals are expected in Glentoran vs Bangor FC?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Glentoran 2.54 · Bangor FC 0.67), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Glentoran vs Bangor FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.