Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 19/09, 16:00
Prediction: Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena Utd
Team pages: Dungannon Swifts · Ballymena Utd
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
Dungannon Swifts1.9
Ballymena Utd1.17
1X2
Dungannon Swifts
Draw
Ballymena Utd
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Dungannon Swifts
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Ballymena Utd
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Dungannon Swifts
5–1
Ballymena Utd
(6 last)
- Dungannon Swifts2-0Ballymena Utd
- Ballymena Utd1-2Dungannon Swifts
- Ballymena Utd0-2Dungannon Swifts
- Dungannon Swifts0-3Ballymena Utd
- Ballymena Utd0-1Dungannon Swifts
- Dungannon Swifts1-0Ballymena Utd
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dungannon Swifts (rating 1541 vs 1486).
- H2H favours Dungannon Swifts: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dungannon Swifts | Ballymena Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.6 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dungannon Swifts 5–0–1 Ballymena Utd
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Dungannon Swifts | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ballymena Utd |
| 06/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Dungannon Swifts |
| 27/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Dungannon Swifts |
| 08/03/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Dungannon Swifts | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Ballymena Utd |
| 14/12/24 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Dungannon Swifts |
| 24/08/24 Northern Ireland Premier | Dungannon Swifts | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ballymena Utd |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 2 | Linfield | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Cliftonville | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Dungannon Swifts | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 12 |
| 5 | Larne FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Crusaders | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 9 |
| 8 | Glentoran | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
| 9 | Ballymena Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 2 |
| 12 | Portadown | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dungannon Swifts | Ballymena Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Crusaders | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Linfield | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Bangor FC | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Portadown | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Coleraine | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Carrick Rangers | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dungannon Swifts
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/09 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/05 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Ballymena Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 11/09 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Linfield Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 15/04 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena Utd?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dungannon Swifts win (53%). Probabilities: Dungannon Swifts 53%, draw 24%, Ballymena Utd 22%.
How many goals are expected in Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena Utd?
The model expects 3.07 goals (Dungannon Swifts 1.9 · Ballymena Utd 1.17), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dungannon Swifts vs Ballymena Utd?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.