Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Crusaders vs Coleraine

Team pages: Crusaders · Coleraine

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Crusaders1.23

Coleraine2.09

1X2

21% 23% 56%

Crusaders Draw Coleraine

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Crusaders 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WWLLWLWLLL

Coleraine 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Crusaders 0–6 Coleraine (6 last)

Coleraine4-1Crusaders
Coleraine5-1Crusaders
Coleraine4-0Crusaders
Crusaders0-2Coleraine
Crusaders0-4Coleraine
Coleraine1-0Crusaders

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleraine (rating 1435 vs 1619).
H2H favours Coleraine: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Crusaders	Coleraine
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.9	2.2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.4	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.83

Under 31.96

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:29

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	7.87 → 7.87	Pinn 7.87
X	5.85 → 5.85	Pinn 5.85
2	1.28 → 1.28	Pinn 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
17:15 +434’	7.87	5.85	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Crusaders 0–0–6 Coleraine

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Coleraine	4-1 HT 3-0	Crusaders
17/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Coleraine	5-1 HT 0-1	Crusaders
09/01/26 Northern Ireland Cup	Coleraine	4-0 HT 0-0	Crusaders
29/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Crusaders	0-2 HT 0-1	Coleraine
06/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Crusaders	0-4 HT 0-3	Coleraine
07/05/25 Northern Ireland Play-Offs	Coleraine	1-0 HT 1-0	Crusaders

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	12	10	1	1	26	12	31
2	Linfield	11	8	2	1	16	8	26
3	Glentoran	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
4	Larne FC	8	6	1	1	17	6	19
5	Carrick Rangers	12	5	2	5	21	19	17
6	Ballymena Utd	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
7	Crusaders	12	5	0	7	16	23	15
8	Dungannon Swifts	11	4	2	5	11	14	14
9	Cliftonville	12	4	0	8	13	15	12
10	Limavady United	11	4	0	7	11	17	12
11	Portadown	12	2	2	8	10	21	8
12	Bangor FC	12	1	3	8	10	24	6

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Crusaders	Coleraine
Ballymena Utd	1-2 L	3-2 W
Larne FC	0-3 L	3-2 W
Carrick Rangers	0-4 L	2-0 W
Bangor FC	2-1 W	3-2 W
Linfield	0-1 L	1-3 L
Limavady United	1-2 L	1-0 W
Glentoran	2-1 W	2-1 W
Portadown	3-2 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	7 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Coleraine (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Crusaders

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
10/10	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
03/10	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-4	8	3	L
26/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
19/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
15/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	3-0	7	6	W
12/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
05/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-3	1-4	1	2	L
29/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
22/08	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-2	3	3	W

Coleraine

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	3-2	0	6	W
10/10	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-0	4	7	W
04/10	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	2-1	3-2	4	1	W
25/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
19/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
15/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
11/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-2	8	3	W
05/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
28/08	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-0	13	2	W
22/08	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	1	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Crusaders vs Coleraine?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Coleraine win (56%). Probabilities: Crusaders 21%, draw 23%, Coleraine 56%.

How many goals are expected in Crusaders vs Coleraine?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Crusaders 1.23 · Coleraine 2.09), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Crusaders vs Coleraine?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.