Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts

Team pages: Linfield · Dungannon Swifts

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Linfield2.39

Dungannon Swifts0.77

1X2

73% 18% 9%

Linfield Draw Dungannon Swifts

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Linfield 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWDWW

Dungannon Swifts 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Linfield 6–0 Dungannon Swifts (6 last)

Dungannon Swifts0-1Linfield
Linfield3-1Dungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts1-3Linfield
Dungannon Swifts1-4Linfield
Linfield6-0Dungannon Swifts
Linfield3-0Dungannon Swifts

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linfield (rating 1630 vs 1441).
H2H favours Linfield: 6-0-0.
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Linfield	Dungannon Swifts
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.6	1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.3	2.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.4	3.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.84

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 19:41

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.50▲	Pinn 1.50
X	4.79 → 4.54▼	Pinn 4.54
2	5.60 → 5.31▼	Pinn 5.31

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 7.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:02 +40’	1.45	4.79	5.60
07:43 +38’	1.44▼	4.79	5.74▲
13:15 +107’	1.44▼	4.79	5.85▲
19:08 +33’	1.50▲	4.54▼	5.31▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Linfield 6–0–0 Dungannon Swifts

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Dungannon Swifts	0-1 HT 0-0	Linfield
12/05/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	3-1 HT 1-0	Dungannon Swifts
07/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Dungannon Swifts	1-3 HT 1-1	Linfield
17/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Dungannon Swifts	1-4 HT 1-1	Linfield
10/02/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	6-0 HT 2-0	Dungannon Swifts
10/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Linfield	3-0 HT 0-0	Dungannon Swifts

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	13	11	1	1	31	12	34
2	Linfield	13	10	2	1	20	10	32
3	Larne FC	10	7	1	2	20	9	22
4	Glentoran	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
5	Carrick Rangers	13	5	3	5	22	20	18
6	Ballymena Utd	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
7	Cliftonville	13	5	0	8	16	16	15
8	Crusaders	13	5	0	8	16	28	15
9	Dungannon Swifts	12	4	2	6	12	17	14
10	Limavady United	12	4	1	7	12	18	13
11	Portadown	13	2	2	9	11	23	8
12	Bangor FC	13	1	3	9	11	26	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Linfield	Dungannon Swifts
Carrick Rangers	2-2 D	2-4 L
Bangor FC	2-0 W	0-0 D
Crusaders	1-0 W	0-3 L
Limavady United	2-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Linfield (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Linfield

WWWDWWWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
20/10	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	2-1	7	7	W
17/10	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	2-1	2-2	9	1	D
10/10	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-1	4	5	W
19/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	3	W
15/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	2	D
12/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
05/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	9	6	W
29/08	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	7	4	W

Dungannon Swifts

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	1-3	9	1	L
17/10	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
10/10	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	1-3	2-4	3	5	L
03/10	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
19/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
15/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-3	5	6	L
12/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
05/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	8	4	W
29/08	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
22/08	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Linfield win (73%). Probabilities: Linfield 73%, draw 18%, Dungannon Swifts 9%.

How many goals are expected in Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Linfield 2.39 · Dungannon Swifts 0.77), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Linfield vs Dungannon Swifts?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.