Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers

Team pages: Cliftonville · Carrick Rangers

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

Cliftonville1.61

Carrick Rangers1.55

1X2

38% 26% 36%

Cliftonville Draw Carrick Rangers

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Cliftonville 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

LWWLLLLLLW

Carrick Rangers 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLWWDD

Head-to-head

Cliftonville 4–1–1 Carrick Rangers (6 last)

Carrick Rangers1-3Cliftonville
Carrick Rangers1-1Cliftonville
Cliftonville1-4Carrick Rangers
Carrick Rangers0-1Cliftonville
Carrick Rangers1-2Cliftonville
Carrick Rangers1-3Cliftonville

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carrick Rangers (rating 1475 vs 1522).
H2H favours Cliftonville: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cliftonville	Carrick Rangers
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6	2.7 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.3	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.03

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:43

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.08 → 2.08	Pinn 2.08
X	4.13 → 4.13	Pinn 4.13
2	2.89 → 2.89	Pinn 2.89

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 6.9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +391’	2.08	4.13	2.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cliftonville 4–1–1 Carrick Rangers

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	1-3 HT 1-2	Cliftonville
20/01/26 Northern Ireland County Antrim Shield	Carrick Rangers	1-1 HT 0-1	Cliftonville
17/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Cliftonville	1-4 HT 1-3	Carrick Rangers
25/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	0-1 HT 0-1	Cliftonville
06/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	1-2 HT 0-1	Cliftonville
01/04/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Carrick Rangers	1-3 HT 1-1	Cliftonville

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	13	11	1	1	31	12	34
2	Linfield	13	10	2	1	20	10	32
3	Larne FC	10	7	1	2	20	9	22
4	Glentoran	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
5	Carrick Rangers	13	5	3	5	22	20	18
6	Ballymena Utd	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
7	Cliftonville	13	5	0	8	16	16	15
8	Crusaders	13	5	0	8	16	28	15
9	Dungannon Swifts	12	4	2	6	12	17	14
10	Limavady United	12	4	1	7	12	18	13
11	Portadown	13	2	2	9	11	23	8
12	Bangor FC	13	1	3	9	11	26	6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cliftonville	Carrick Rangers
Dungannon Swifts	3-1 W	4-2 W
Ballymena Utd	0-1 L	1-1 D
Limavady United	0-1 L	1-1 D
Glentoran	1-2 L	0-2 L
Larne FC	0-2 L	2-5 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cliftonville

LWWLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-1	8	1	W
17/10	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	15	3	L
10/10	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
03/10	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	4	9	L
26/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
19/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
15/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	0-2	4	2	L
12/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	2-1	3-1	3	5	W
05/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
29/08	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	5	3	L

Carrick Rangers

WLLDLLWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
17/10	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	2-2	4	1	D
10/10	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	3-1	4-2	8	5	W
03/10	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	4-0	8	3	W
26/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	0-2	4	5	L
19/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	2-3	2-5	11	4	L
15/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-1	2	7	D
12/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	1-3	8	5	L
05/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	2	6	L
29/08	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	4-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cliftonville win (38%). Probabilities: Cliftonville 38%, draw 26%, Carrick Rangers 36%.

How many goals are expected in Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers?

The model expects 3.16 goals (Cliftonville 1.61 · Carrick Rangers 1.55), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cliftonville vs Carrick Rangers?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.