Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Ballymena Utd vs Bangor FC

Team pages: Ballymena Utd · Bangor FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Ballymena Utd1.91

Bangor FC0.89

1X2

60% 24% 16%

Ballymena Utd Draw Bangor FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Ballymena Utd 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLDDWWLW

Bangor FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLDLWLLLDL

Head-to-head

Ballymena Utd 2–3–1 Bangor FC (6 last)

Bangor FC2-2Ballymena Utd
Ballymena Utd0-0Bangor FC
Bangor FC2-0Ballymena Utd
Bangor FC2-3Ballymena Utd
Ballymena Utd4-0Bangor FC
Ballymena Utd1-1Bangor FC

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ballymena Utd (rating 1524 vs 1425).
H2H favours Ballymena Utd: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Ballymena Utd	Bangor FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	1.1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.5	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.5	2.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.94

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:09

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.63▲	Pinn 1.63
X	4.10 → 3.95▼	Pinn 3.95
2	5.14 → 4.82▼	Pinn 4.82

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +267’	1.57	4.10	5.14
16:29 +40’	1.63▲	3.95▼	4.82▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballymena Utd 2–3–1 Bangor FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	2-2 HT 0-2	Ballymena Utd
15/04/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Ballymena Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	Bangor FC
30/12/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	2-0 HT 1-0	Ballymena Utd
08/11/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Bangor FC	2-3 HT 0-1	Ballymena Utd
23/08/25 Northern Ireland Premier	Ballymena Utd	4-0 HT 2-0	Bangor FC
20/07/24 UK Friendlies	Ballymena Utd	1-1 HT 1-0	Bangor FC

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	13	11	1	1	31	12	34
2	Linfield	13	10	2	1	20	10	32
3	Larne FC	10	7	1	2	20	9	22
4	Glentoran	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
5	Carrick Rangers	13	5	3	5	22	20	18
6	Ballymena Utd	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
7	Cliftonville	13	5	0	8	16	16	15
8	Crusaders	13	5	0	8	16	28	15
9	Dungannon Swifts	12	4	2	6	12	17	14
10	Limavady United	12	4	1	7	12	18	13
11	Portadown	13	2	2	9	11	23	8
12	Bangor FC	13	1	3	9	11	26	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Ballymena Utd	Bangor FC
Crusaders	2-1 W	1-2 L
Limavady United	2-3 L	1-3 L
Portadown	2-0 W	3-1 W
Dungannon Swifts	1-1 D	0-0 D
Coleraine	2-3 L	2-3 L
Glentoran	0-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Ballymena Utd (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Ballymena Utd

LLDLDDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	2-1	5	6	W
10/10	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	2-1	2-3	6	4	L
03/10	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-0	3	9	W
26/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	2-0	2	2	W
19/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-1	4	2	D
15/09	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	1-1	7	7	D
11/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	2-3	2	3	L
05/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	2-0	2-2	4	4	D
21/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	5	4	L
15/08	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	1-2	7	4	L

Bangor FC

DLDLWLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-2	3	1	L
17/10	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
10/10	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
04/10	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	2-3	6	1	L
26/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	4	6	L
19/09	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
15/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-3	1-3	2	2	L
12/09	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-1	6	1	D
08/09	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	1	3	L
05/09	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	0-2	2-2	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Ballymena Utd vs Bangor FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Ballymena Utd win (60%). Probabilities: Ballymena Utd 60%, draw 24%, Bangor FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Ballymena Utd vs Bangor FC?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Ballymena Utd 1.91 · Bangor FC 0.89), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Ballymena Utd vs Bangor FC?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.