Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 31/10, 16:00

Prediction: Limavady United vs Crusaders

Team pages: Limavady United · Crusaders

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Limavady United1.58

Crusaders1.36

1X2

42% 26% 32%

Limavady United Draw Crusaders

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Limavady United 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWLWLD

Crusaders 3-0-7 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLLLL

Head-to-head

Limavady United 1–1–2 Crusaders (4 last)

Crusaders1-2Limavady United
Crusaders0-0Limavady United
Crusaders1-0Limavady United
Limavady United1-4Crusaders

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Limavady United 1504 · Crusaders 1443

	Limavady United	Draw	Crusaders
Our model	42%	27%	32%
Market	42%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Limavady United (rating 1504 vs 1443).
H2H favours Crusaders: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Limavady United	Crusaders
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.8	1.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.4	3.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.60

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
18:57 +29’	2.15	3.60	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Limavady United 1–1–2 Crusaders

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/26 Northern Ireland Premier	Crusaders	1-2 HT 0-1	Limavady United
10/07/25 UK Friendlies	Crusaders	0-0 HT 0-0	Limavady United
01/02/25 Northern Ireland Cup	Crusaders	1-0 HT 0-0	Limavady United
08/10/19 Northern Ireland League Cup	Limavady United	1-4 HT 0-3	Crusaders

Standings · Northern Ireland Premier

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Coleraine	13	11	1	1	31	12	34
2	Linfield	13	10	2	1	20	10	32
3	Larne FC	10	7	1	2	20	9	22
4	Glentoran	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
5	Carrick Rangers	13	5	3	5	22	20	18
6	Ballymena Utd	11	4	3	4	17	15	15
7	Cliftonville	13	5	0	8	16	16	15
8	Crusaders	13	5	0	8	16	28	15
9	Dungannon Swifts	12	4	2	6	12	17	14
10	Limavady United	12	4	1	7	12	18	13
11	Portadown	13	2	2	9	11	23	8
12	Bangor FC	13	1	3	9	11	26	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Limavady United	Crusaders
Carrick Rangers	1-1 D	0-4 L
Glentoran	0-1 L	2-1 W
Ballymena Utd	3-2 W	1-2 L
Coleraine	0-1 L	0-5 L
Bangor FC	3-1 W	2-1 W
Dungannon Swifts	0-2 L	3-0 W
Linfield	0-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Limavady United (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Limavady United

LLWWLWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-1	1	5	D
17/10	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
10/10	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	1-2	3-2	3	4	W
03/10	Portadown Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-3	2	7	L
26/09	Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
19/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-1	1	2	L
15/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	3-0	3-1	4	2	W
12/09	Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	6	3	W
05/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
29/08	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-2	2	4	L

Crusaders

WLLWLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-3	0-5	1	4	L
17/10	Ballymena Utd Northern Ireland Premier	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
10/10	Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
03/10	Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	0-4	8	3	L
26/09	Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
19/09	Linfield Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
15/09	Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier	0-0	3-0	7	6	W
12/09	Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
05/09	Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier	0-3	1-4	1	2	L
29/08	Glentoran Northern Ireland Premier	1-0	2-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Limavady United vs Crusaders?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Limavady United win (42%). Probabilities: Limavady United 42%, draw 26%, Crusaders 32%.

How many goals are expected in Limavady United vs Crusaders?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Limavady United 1.58 · Crusaders 1.36), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Limavady United vs Crusaders?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.