Football · Northern Ireland Premier · 13/11, 20:45
Prediction: Ballymena Utd vs Linfield
Team pages: Ballymena Utd · Linfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Ballymena Utd1.19
Linfield1.29
1X2
Ballymena Utd
Draw
Linfield
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Ballymena Utd
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Linfield
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ballymena Utd
2–1–3
Linfield
(6 last)
- Linfield0-3Ballymena Utd
- Linfield2-1Ballymena Utd
- Linfield1-0Ballymena Utd
- Linfield2-1Ballymena Utd
- Ballymena Utd1-0Linfield
- Ballymena Utd2-2Linfield
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Linfield (rating 1522 vs 1591).
- H2H favours Linfield: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ballymena Utd | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 2.4 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.7 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ballymena Utd 2–1–3 Linfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Linfield | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Ballymena Utd |
| 31/01/26 Northern Ireland Premier | Linfield | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ballymena Utd |
| 28/01/26 Northern Ireland League Cup | Linfield | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Ballymena Utd |
| 25/10/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Linfield | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ballymena Utd |
| 16/09/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Linfield |
| 07/02/25 Northern Ireland Premier | Ballymena Utd | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Linfield |
Standings · Northern Ireland Premier
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Linfield | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 36 |
| 2 | Coleraine | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Larne FC | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 11 | 22 |
| 5 | Cliftonville | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 19 | 21 |
| 6 | Carrick Rangers | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 27 | 19 |
| 7 | Dungannon Swifts | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 18 |
| 8 | Crusaders | 15 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 30 | 18 |
| 9 | Ballymena Utd | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 16 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 14 |
| 11 | Bangor FC | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 26 | 12 |
| 12 | Portadown | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 25 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ballymena Utd | Linfield |
|---|---|---|
| Portadown | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Bangor FC | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Crusaders | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Dungannon Swifts | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Carrick Rangers | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Coleraine | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Linfield (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ballymena Utd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 31/10 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 17/10 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 10/10 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/10 | Cliftonville Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 26/09 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 15/09 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 11/09 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
Linfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/10 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 23/10 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/10 | Larne FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 17/10 | Carrick Rangers Northern Ireland Premier |
2-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 10/10 | Bangor FC Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/09 | Coleraine Northern Ireland Premier |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 19/09 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 15/09 | Portadown Northern Ireland Premier |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 12/09 | Dungannon Swifts Northern Ireland Premier |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ballymena Utd vs Linfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Linfield win (37%). Probabilities: Ballymena Utd 33%, draw 30%, Linfield 37%.
How many goals are expected in Ballymena Utd vs Linfield?
The model expects 2.48 goals (Ballymena Utd 1.19 · Linfield 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ballymena Utd vs Linfield?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.