Football · Northern Ireland Championship · 22/08, 16:00
Prediction: Queens University vs Institute
Team pages: Queens University · Institute
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.59Total
Queens University1.3
Institute1.29
1X2
Queens University
Draw
Institute
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Queens University
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Institute
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Queens University
3–3
Institute
(6 last)
- Institute0-1Queens University
- Queens University2-1Institute
- Institute1-0Queens University
- Institute3-2Queens University
- Institute0-1Queens University
- Queens University0-1Institute
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Queens University 1561 · Institute 1544
| Queens University | Draw | Institute | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 35% |
| Market | 37% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Queens University | Institute | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1 | 1.7 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0 / 0 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 67/0/33% | 0/100/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.7 | 2 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 3 / 1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Queens University 3–0–3 Institute
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Northern Ireland Championship | Institute | 0-1 | Queens University |
| 20/12/25 Northern Ireland Championship | Queens University | 2-1 | Institute |
| 11/10/25 Northern Ireland Championship | Institute | 1-0 | Queens University |
| 16/04/22 Northern Ireland Championship | Institute | 3-2 | Queens University |
| 12/03/22 Northern Ireland Championship | Institute | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Queens University |
| 27/12/21 Northern Ireland Championship | Queens University | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Institute |
Standings · Northern Ireland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ards FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 1 | Newington FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Glenavon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | HW Welders | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Newry City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Moyola Park | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Queens University | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Institute | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Annagh United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Dundela | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Strabane Athletic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Ballinamallard Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Warrenpoint Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Armagh City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Rathfriland Rangers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Queens University | Institute |
|---|---|---|
| Armagh City | 1-1 D | 4-1 W |
| Loughgall | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Institute (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Queens University
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/08 | HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/07 | Ballyclare Comrades UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 24/04 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 11/04 | Annagh United Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 8-1 | – | – | W |
Institute
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 11/08 | Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Strabane Athletic Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Armagh City Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Ards FC Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Warrenpoint Town Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Dundela Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/03 | Loughgall Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | Queens University Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Queens University vs Institute?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Queens University win (36%). Probabilities: Queens University 36%, draw 28%, Institute 36%.
How many goals are expected in Queens University vs Institute?
The model expects 2.59 goals (Queens University 1.3 · Institute 1.29), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Queens University vs Institute?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.