Prediction: Annagh United vs Moyola Park
Team pages: Annagh United · Moyola Park
- Moyola Park3-0Annagh United
- Moyola Park2-2Annagh United
| Annagh United | Draw | Moyola Park | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 19% | 13% |
| Market | 69% | 18% | 13% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moyola Park (rating 1448 vs 1510).
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Annagh United | Moyola Park | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.7 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 29/0/71% | 33/11/56% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.8 | 0.7 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Annagh United 0–1–1 Moyola Park
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/25 Northern Ireland League Cup | Moyola Park | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Annagh United |
| 01/10/24 Northern Ireland League Cup | Moyola Park | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Annagh United |
Standings · Northern Ireland Championship
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ards FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 1 | Newington FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Glenavon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | HW Welders | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Newry City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
| 7 | Moyola Park | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Queens University | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 | Institute | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | Annagh United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 11 | Dundela | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Strabane Athletic | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Ballinamallard Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Warrenpoint Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 15 | Armagh City | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Rathfriland Rangers | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Annagh United | Moyola Park |
|---|---|---|
| Dundela | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Ballymena Utd | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Crusaders | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Annagh United (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Annagh United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Dundela Northern Ireland Championship |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 11/08 | Rathfriland Rangers Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Newington FC Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 01/08 | Ballymena Utd UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 07/07 | Dungannon Swifts UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 01/05 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Premier Play-Offs |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 28/04 | Crusaders Northern Ireland Play-Offs |
2-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 24/04 | HW Welders Northern Ireland Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Limavady United Northern Ireland Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Queens University Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
Moyola Park
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Ballinamallard Utd Northern Ireland Championship |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/08 | Strabane Athletic Northern Ireland Championship |
1-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 08/08 | Dundela Northern Ireland Championship |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 25/07 | Crusaders UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/07 | Cliftonville UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 10/07 | Ballymena Utd UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/04 | Dergview FC Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 01/04 | Crumlin Star Northern Ireland Intermediate Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 14/03 | St. James Swifts Northern Ireland Intermediate Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 03/02 | Strabane Athletic Northern Ireland Premier Intermediate League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Annagh United vs Moyola Park?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Annagh United win (69%). Probabilities: Annagh United 69%, draw 18%, Moyola Park 13%.
How many goals are expected in Annagh United vs Moyola Park?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Annagh United 2.47 · Moyola Park 0.99), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Annagh United vs Moyola Park?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.