Football · Belgium First Division A · 01/11, 13:30

Prediction: Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp

Team pages: Cercle Brugge · Antwerp

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Cercle Brugge1.98

Antwerp1.42

1X2

49% 24% 26%

Cercle Brugge Draw Antwerp

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Cercle Brugge 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LDDLLLDLLL

Antwerp 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWWDLLLLLW

Head-to-head

Cercle Brugge 1–2–3 Antwerp (6 last)

Cercle Brugge0-4Antwerp
Antwerp1-1Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge0-0Antwerp
Antwerp3-0Cercle Brugge
Antwerp1-2Cercle Brugge
Cercle Brugge0-1Antwerp

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cercle Brugge 1428 · Antwerp 1519

	Cercle Brugge	Draw	Antwerp
Our model	50%	24%	27%
Market	49%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Antwerp (rating 1428 vs 1519).
H2H favours Antwerp: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cercle Brugge	Antwerp
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.5	1.7 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.6	1.8 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.75

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 1.93
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 4.04 ★
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.8% Pinnacle margin 5.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:14 +2’	1.91	3.75	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:30 +228’	1.90	4.07	3.57
00:32 +46’	1.90	4.06▼	3.56▼
18:23 +3’	1.91▲	4.09▲	3.53▼
13:06 +22’	1.91	4.07▼	3.54▲
23:58 +18’	1.93▲	4.04▼	3.51▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cercle Brugge 1–2–3 Antwerp

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Belgium First Division A	Cercle Brugge	0-4 HT 0-2	Antwerp
04/10/25 Belgium First Division A	Antwerp	1-1 HT 1-1	Cercle Brugge
01/03/25 Belgium First Division A	Cercle Brugge	0-0 HT 0-0	Antwerp
06/10/24 Belgium First Division A	Antwerp	3-0 HT 2-0	Cercle Brugge
12/05/24 Belgium First Division A	Antwerp	1-2 HT 0-2	Cercle Brugge
21/04/24 Belgium First Division A	Cercle Brugge	0-1 HT 0-0	Antwerp

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gent	9	8	1	0	19	4	25
2	Club Brugge	9	8	0	1	22	6	24
3	Union Saint Gilloise	9	7	2	0	27	6	23
4	Charleroi	9	7	0	2	16	10	21
5	Anderlecht	9	5	1	3	9	10	16
6	Genk	9	4	3	2	18	13	15
7	Westerlo	9	4	2	3	24	21	14
8	Lommel	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
9	Standard Liege	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
10	Zulte-Waregem	9	3	2	4	10	12	11
11	Antwerp	9	3	1	5	15	20	10
12	SK Beveren	9	3	1	5	12	18	10
13	Sint-Truidense	9	2	2	5	17	19	8
14	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	1	6	11	18	7
15	KV Mechelen	8	1	3	4	9	17	6
16	OH Leuven	9	1	3	5	8	16	6
17	KV Kortrijk	8	1	0	7	2	18	3
18	Cercle Brugge	9	0	3	6	11	21	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cercle Brugge	Antwerp
Union Saint Gilloise	2-5 L	0-2 L
Charleroi	2-3 L	3-0 W
Club Brugge	0-1 L	1-3 L
Sint-Truidense	3-3 D	1-4 L
Standard Liege	2-2 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Cercle Brugge (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cercle Brugge

LDDLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-5	1	5	L
10/10	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
19/09	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	1-2	2-3	2	2	L
12/09	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-1	11	6	D
06/09	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-3	8	1	L
29/08	Lommel Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-1	9	5	L
23/08	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	4	1	L
14/08	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-2	3-3	10	3	D
08/08	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	11	2	D
09/05	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-4	5	3	L

Antwerp

WWWDLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-0	5	5	W
11/10	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-5	3	6	L
20/09	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-2	1	7	L
13/09	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
05/09	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-1	4	3	L
30/08	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-4	6	4	L
22/08	Genk Belgium First Division A	1-1	4-4	5	2	D
15/08	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	10	1	W
09/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-1	5	6	W
23/05	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-0	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cercle Brugge win (49%). Probabilities: Cercle Brugge 49%, draw 24%, Antwerp 26%.

How many goals are expected in Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Cercle Brugge 1.98 · Antwerp 1.42), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.