Football · Belgium First Division A · 08/11, 19:15
Prediction: Sint-Truidense vs Zulte-Waregem
Team pages: Sint-Truidense · Zulte-Waregem
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
Sint-Truidense2.01
Zulte-Waregem1.31
1X2
Sint-Truidense
Draw
Zulte-Waregem
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Sint-Truidense
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Zulte-Waregem
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sint-Truidense
5–1
Zulte-Waregem
(6 last)
- Sint-Truidense3-2Zulte-Waregem
- Zulte-Waregem0-2Sint-Truidense
- Zulte-Waregem2-0Sint-Truidense
- Sint-Truidense2-0Zulte-Waregem
- Zulte-Waregem0-3Sint-Truidense
- Zulte-Waregem0-2Sint-Truidense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sint-Truidense 1501 · Zulte-Waregem 1471
| Sint-Truidense | Draw | Zulte-Waregem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 23% | 24% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sint-Truidense: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sint-Truidense | Zulte-Waregem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.1 | 1.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 10/30/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.2 | 1.7 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sint-Truidense 5–0–1 Zulte-Waregem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Belgium First Division A | Sint-Truidense | 3-2 HT 2-2 | Zulte-Waregem |
| 23/08/25 Belgium First Division A | Zulte-Waregem | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Sint-Truidense |
| 11/01/23 Belgium Cup | Zulte-Waregem | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sint-Truidense |
| 27/12/22 Belgium First Division A | Sint-Truidense | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Zulte-Waregem |
| 17/09/22 Belgium First Division A | Zulte-Waregem | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Sint-Truidense |
| 02/04/22 Belgium First Division A | Zulte-Waregem | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Sint-Truidense |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Charleroi | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | Union Saint Gilloise | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Gent | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 19 |
| 6 | Lommel | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 15 |
| 8 | Standard Liege | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 15 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 30 | 14 |
| 10 | OH Leuven | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 12 |
| 11 | KV Mechelen | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 12 |
| 12 | Zulte-Waregem | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 11 |
| 14 | SK Beveren | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 23 | 10 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | 9 |
| 16 | Sint-Truidense | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 8 |
| 17 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 7 |
| 18 | KV Kortrijk | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sint-Truidense | Zulte-Waregem |
|---|---|---|
| Club Brugge | 2-3 L | 2-4 L |
| Westerlo | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| SK Beveren | 0-2 L | 4-0 W |
| RAAL La Louviere | 4-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Union Saint Gilloise | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Zulte-Waregem (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sint-Truidense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 15 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Club Brugge Belgium First Division A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | SK Beveren Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Lommel Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
Zulte-Waregem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Club Brugge Belgium First Division A |
1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/10 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Gent Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/09 | Charleroi Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 06/09 | KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 22/08 | SK Beveren Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 09/08 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sint-Truidense vs Zulte-Waregem?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sint-Truidense win (52%). Probabilities: Sint-Truidense 52%, draw 24%, Zulte-Waregem 24%.
How many goals are expected in Sint-Truidense vs Zulte-Waregem?
The model expects 3.32 goals (Sint-Truidense 2.01 · Zulte-Waregem 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Sint-Truidense vs Zulte-Waregem?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.