Football · Belgium First Division A · 08/11, 13:30

Prediction: Club Brugge vs Anderlecht

Team pages: Club Brugge · Anderlecht

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Club Brugge2.13

Anderlecht1.07

1X2

61% 22% 17%

Club Brugge Draw Anderlecht

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Club Brugge 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWWWWWW

Anderlecht 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWWWLW

Head-to-head

Club Brugge 4–1–1 Anderlecht (6 last)

Anderlecht1-3Club Brugge
Club Brugge4-2Anderlecht
Club Brugge2-2Anderlecht
Anderlecht1-0Club Brugge
Anderlecht1-3Club Brugge
Club Brugge2-1Anderlecht

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Club Brugge 1630 · Anderlecht 1517

	Club Brugge	Draw	Anderlecht
Our model	61%	22%	17%
Market	61%	22%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Brugge (rating 1630 vs 1517).
H2H favours Club Brugge: 4-1-1.
High corners: 14.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Club Brugge	Anderlecht
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.8	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	80/20/0%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.7 / 8.3	2.4 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.80

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.54
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.80 ★
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 5.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:11 +2’	1.50	4.20	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
00:04 +17’	1.50	4.92	5.45
09:03 +7’	1.54▲	4.80▼	5.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Brugge 4–1–1 Anderlecht

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	1-3 HT 0-1	Club Brugge
06/04/26 Belgium First Division A	Club Brugge	4-2 HT 3-0	Anderlecht
08/03/26 Belgium First Division A	Club Brugge	2-2 HT 1-1	Anderlecht
09/11/25 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	1-0 HT 1-0	Club Brugge
18/05/25 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	1-3 HT 1-3	Club Brugge
04/05/25 Belgium Cup	Club Brugge	2-1 HT 1-0	Anderlecht

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Brugge	10	9	0	1	26	8	27
2	Union Saint Gilloise	10	8	2	0	29	7	26
3	Gent	10	8	1	1	19	6	25
4	Charleroi	10	8	0	2	21	12	24
5	Anderlecht	10	6	1	3	13	11	19
6	Genk	10	4	3	3	18	14	15
7	Lommel	10	4	3	3	13	11	15
8	Westerlo	10	4	2	4	25	25	14
9	Standard Liege	10	3	3	4	15	16	12
10	Zulte-Waregem	10	3	2	5	12	16	11
11	Antwerp	10	3	1	6	16	22	10
12	SK Beveren	10	3	1	6	13	20	10
13	OH Leuven	10	2	3	5	10	17	9
13	KV Mechelen	9	2	3	4	10	17	9
15	Sint-Truidense	10	2	2	6	18	21	8
16	RAAL La Louviere	10	2	1	7	13	23	7
17	Cercle Brugge	10	1	3	6	13	22	6
18	KV Kortrijk	9	1	1	7	3	19	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Club Brugge	Anderlecht
Zulte-Waregem	4-2 W	3-0 W
RAAL La Louviere	4-1 W	2-1 W
Genk	3-0 W	0-0 D
Gent	1-2 L	0-4 L
Cercle Brugge	1-0 W	2-1 W
KV Kortrijk	3-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Club Brugge (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Club Brugge

WWWLWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	4-1	4-2	14	5	W
25/10	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-2	4	2	W
10/10	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	2-0	4-1	3	5	W
20/09	Genk Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
13/09	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	1-1	3-1	9	6	W
04/09	Lommel Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
30/08	Gent Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-2	5	9	L
23/08	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	9	1	W
15/08	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	16	0	W
07/08	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	6	2	W

Anderlecht

WLLWDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	3-0	4-1	4	3	W
25/10	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-4	5	6	L
10/10	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
19/09	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
11/09	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/09	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
03/09	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
30/08	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
16/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	12	1	L
09/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-1	10	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Brugge win (61%). Probabilities: Club Brugge 61%, draw 22%, Anderlecht 17%.

How many goals are expected in Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Club Brugge 2.13 · Anderlecht 1.07), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Club Brugge vs Anderlecht?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.