Football · Belgium First Division A · 24/10, 20:45

Prediction: RAAL La Louviere vs Zulte-Waregem

Team pages: RAAL La Louviere · Zulte-Waregem

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

RAAL La Louviere1.37

Zulte-Waregem1.58

1X2

32% 27% 41%

RAAL La Louviere Draw Zulte-Waregem

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

RAAL La Louviere 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LWLLLDLWLL

Zulte-Waregem 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDWLLL

Head-to-head

RAAL La Louviere 0–3–3 Zulte-Waregem (6 last)

Zulte-Waregem4-0RAAL La Louviere
RAAL La Louviere0-2Zulte-Waregem
Zulte-Waregem2-2RAAL La Louviere
RAAL La Louviere0-0Zulte-Waregem
RAAL La Louviere0-0Zulte-Waregem
Zulte-Waregem2-1RAAL La Louviere

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RAAL La Louviere 1459 · Zulte-Waregem 1545

	RAAL La Louviere	Draw	Zulte-Waregem
Our model	32%	27%	41%
Market	32%	28%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zulte-Waregem (rating 1459 vs 1545).
H2H favours Zulte-Waregem: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RAAL La Louviere	Zulte-Waregem
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.1	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.7	2.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.30

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 2.90▲	Pinn 3.06 ★
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.39
2	2.30 → 2.25▼	Pinn 2.33

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 9.2% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
19:09 +15’	2.88	3.30	2.30
09:01 +10’	2.90▲	3.30	2.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:14 +139’	3.01	3.35	2.39
22:07 +10’	3.06▲	3.39▲	2.33▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · RAAL La Louviere 0–3–3 Zulte-Waregem

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/04/26 Belgium First Division A	Zulte-Waregem	4-0 HT 2-0	RAAL La Louviere
19/04/26 Belgium First Division A	RAAL La Louviere	0-2 HT 0-1	Zulte-Waregem
13/12/25 Belgium First Division A	Zulte-Waregem	2-2 HT 1-1	RAAL La Louviere
04/10/25 Belgium First Division A	RAAL La Louviere	0-0 HT 0-0	Zulte-Waregem
02/02/25 Belgium First Division B	RAAL La Louviere	0-0 HT 0-0	Zulte-Waregem
10/11/24 Belgium First Division B	Zulte-Waregem	2-1 HT 0-0	RAAL La Louviere

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15	4	22
2	Club Brugge	8	7	0	1	19	4	21
3	Charleroi	8	7	0	1	16	7	21
4	Union Saint Gilloise	8	6	2	0	22	4	20
5	Anderlecht	8	5	1	2	9	6	16
6	Westerlo	8	4	1	3	20	17	13
7	Genk	8	3	3	2	16	12	12
8	Zulte-Waregem	8	3	2	3	10	9	11
9	Standard Liege	8	3	2	3	13	13	11
10	Lommel	8	3	2	3	9	9	11
11	SK Beveren	8	3	0	5	8	14	9
12	Sint-Truidense	8	2	2	4	15	16	8
13	Antwerp	8	2	1	5	12	20	7
14	KV Mechelen	8	1	3	4	9	17	6
15	OH Leuven	8	1	2	5	6	14	5
16	RAAL La Louviere	8	1	1	6	8	18	4
17	KV Kortrijk	8	1	0	7	2	18	3
18	Cercle Brugge	8	0	3	5	9	16	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RAAL La Louviere	Zulte-Waregem
KV Kortrijk	3-0 W	2-0 W
Gent	1-2 L	0-2 L
Anderlecht	1-2 L	0-3 L
Cercle Brugge	4-1 W	3-2 W
FCV Dender EH	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RAAL La Louviere (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RAAL La Louviere

LWLLLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-2	1-4	7	5	L
19/09	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
13/09	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-0	0	4	W
05/09	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-4	5	3	L
29/08	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	2-1	2-2	1	4	D
21/08	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-2	1	3	L
16/08	Gent Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
09/08	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
09/05	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	4-1	6	3	W
03/05	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A	1-2	1-2	5	3	L

Zulte-Waregem

WWWDWDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-2	3	2	L
19/09	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
13/09	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	9	4	L
06/09	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-0	6	6	W
30/08	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	8	1	D
22/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	2-0	4-0	1	3	W
15/08	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
09/08	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-1	6	5	W
09/05	FCV Dender EH Belgium First Division A	2-1	2-1	9	6	W
01/05	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	3-2	7	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RAAL La Louviere vs Zulte-Waregem?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Zulte-Waregem win (41%). Probabilities: RAAL La Louviere 32%, draw 27%, Zulte-Waregem 41%.

How many goals are expected in RAAL La Louviere vs Zulte-Waregem?

The model expects 2.95 goals (RAAL La Louviere 1.37 · Zulte-Waregem 1.58), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in RAAL La Louviere vs Zulte-Waregem?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.