Football · Belgium First Division A · 31/10, 20:45

Prediction: Anderlecht vs Westerlo

Team pages: Anderlecht · Westerlo

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Anderlecht2.18

Westerlo1.15

1X2

60% 22% 18%

Anderlecht Draw Westerlo

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Anderlecht 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWLLWDWWWL

Westerlo 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLLDWWWWD

Head-to-head

Anderlecht 3–1–2 Westerlo (6 last)

Westerlo4-0Anderlecht
Anderlecht5-2Westerlo
Westerlo2-0Anderlecht
Anderlecht4-1Westerlo
Anderlecht2-2Westerlo
Westerlo1-3Anderlecht

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Anderlecht 1495 · Westerlo 1537

	Anderlecht	Draw	Westerlo
Our model	60%	22%	18%
Market	60%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Westerlo (rating 1495 vs 1537).
H2H favours Anderlecht: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Anderlecht	Westerlo
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	2.4 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	1.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.1	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.53

X4.33

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Pinn 1.57
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.56 ★
2	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.09

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3% Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
07:29 +45’	1.53	4.33	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:44 +10’	1.55	4.48	4.95
19:44 +1’	1.57▲	4.55▲	5.04▲
05:42 +29’	1.57▲	4.54▼	5.02▼
21:56 +47’	1.57▼	4.56▲	5.09▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Anderlecht 3–1–2 Westerlo

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
07/12/25 Belgium First Division A	Westerlo	4-0 HT 3-0	Anderlecht
27/07/25 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	5-2 HT 2-0	Westerlo
09/03/25 Belgium First Division A	Westerlo	2-0 HT 2-0	Anderlecht
05/12/24 Belgium Cup	Anderlecht	4-1 HT 3-1	Westerlo
14/09/24 Belgium First Division A	Anderlecht	2-2 HT 1-1	Westerlo
01/12/23 Belgium First Division A	Westerlo	1-3 HT 0-1	Anderlecht

Standings · Belgium First Division A

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gent	9	8	1	0	19	4	25
2	Club Brugge	9	8	0	1	22	6	24
3	Union Saint Gilloise	9	7	2	0	27	6	23
4	Charleroi	9	7	0	2	16	10	21
5	Anderlecht	9	5	1	3	9	10	16
6	Genk	9	4	3	2	18	13	15
7	Westerlo	9	4	2	3	24	21	14
8	Lommel	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
9	Standard Liege	9	3	2	4	14	15	11
10	Zulte-Waregem	9	3	2	4	10	12	11
11	Antwerp	9	3	1	5	15	20	10
12	SK Beveren	9	3	1	5	12	18	10
13	Sint-Truidense	9	2	2	5	17	19	8
14	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	1	6	11	18	7
15	KV Mechelen	8	1	3	4	9	17	6
16	OH Leuven	9	1	3	5	8	16	6
17	KV Kortrijk	8	1	0	7	2	18	3
18	Cercle Brugge	9	0	3	6	11	21	3

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Anderlecht	Westerlo
Zulte-Waregem	3-0 W	2-2 D
KV Mechelen	1-0 W	4-0 W
Genk	0-0 D	2-3 L
Union Saint Gilloise	0-3 L	1-5 L
SK Beveren	0-1 L	4-4 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Anderlecht (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Anderlecht

LWLLWDWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-4	5	6	L
10/10	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-1	5	3	W
19/09	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-0	3-0	8	3	W
11/09	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	5	5	W
06/09	Genk Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
03/09	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
30/08	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
16/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-1	12	1	L
09/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-1	10	4	W
24/05	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	0-4	1-5	1	5	L

Westerlo

LLLLDWWWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	2-1	4-4	3	5	D
11/10	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	1-1	5-1	3	6	W
20/09	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
12/09	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	1-0	4-2	1	0	W
05/09	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	2-0	4-0	6	5	W
30/08	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	3	1	D
23/08	Lommel Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-4	4	0	L
15/08	Genk Belgium First Division A	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
08/08	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-5	4	3	L
23/05	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-2	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Anderlecht vs Westerlo?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Anderlecht win (60%). Probabilities: Anderlecht 60%, draw 22%, Westerlo 18%.

How many goals are expected in Anderlecht vs Westerlo?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Anderlecht 2.18 · Westerlo 1.15), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Anderlecht vs Westerlo?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.