Football · Belgium First Division A · 01/11, 19:15
Prediction: Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere
Team pages: Charleroi · RAAL La Louviere
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
Charleroi1.99
RAAL La Louviere0.89
1X2
Charleroi
Draw
RAAL La Louviere
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Charleroi
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
RAAL La Louviere
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Charleroi
0–1–1
RAAL La Louviere
(2 last)
- Charleroi0-0RAAL La Louviere
- RAAL La Louviere1-0Charleroi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Charleroi 1563 · RAAL La Louviere 1483
| Charleroi | Draw | RAAL La Louviere | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 22% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charleroi (rating 1563 vs 1483).
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Charleroi | RAAL La Louviere | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.9 | 1.4 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Charleroi 0–1–1 RAAL La Louviere
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Belgium First Division A | Charleroi | 0-0 HT 0-0 | RAAL La Louviere |
| 10/08/25 Belgium First Division A | RAAL La Louviere | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Charleroi |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 25 |
| 2 | Club Brugge | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Union Saint Gilloise | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 6 | 23 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
| 6 | Genk | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 13 | 15 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 21 | 14 |
| 8 | Lommel | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 11 |
| 10 | Zulte-Waregem | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 10 |
| 12 | SK Beveren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 10 |
| 13 | Sint-Truidense | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 8 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 7 |
| 15 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 6 |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 6 |
| 17 | KV Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 3 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Charleroi | RAAL La Louviere |
|---|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Cercle Brugge | 3-2 W | 4-1 W |
| Zulte-Waregem | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| KV Kortrijk | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| KV Mechelen | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| OH Leuven | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Charleroi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A |
2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 16/08 | Lommel Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 09/08 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 8 | W |
RAAL La Louviere
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Club Brugge Belgium First Division A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 19/09 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 05/09 | Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 21/08 | Standard Liege Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Gent Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Charleroi win (62%). Probabilities: Charleroi 62%, draw 22%, RAAL La Louviere 15%.
How many goals are expected in Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere?
The model expects 2.87 goals (Charleroi 1.99 · RAAL La Louviere 0.89), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Charleroi vs RAAL La Louviere?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.