Football · Belgium First Division A · 25/10, 13:30

Prediction: Genk vs Standard Liege

Team pages: Genk · Standard Liege

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.68Total

Genk1.56

Standard Liege1.12

1X2

46% 28% 26%

Genk Draw Standard Liege

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Genk 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWDWDDLW

Standard Liege 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWWLLL

Head-to-head

Genk 1–3–2 Standard Liege (6 last)

Standard Liege0-0Genk
Genk1-1Standard Liege
Genk0-3Standard Liege
Standard Liege2-1Genk
Standard Liege1-2Genk
Genk1-1Standard Liege

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Standard Liege: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Genk	Standard Liege
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.5 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.9	3.1 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.75
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.72 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.4% Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:15 +14’	1.67	3.80	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:43 +515’	1.76	3.68	4.65
12:11 +8’	1.75▼	3.70▲	4.72▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Genk 1–3–2 Standard Liege

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Belgium First Division A	Standard Liege	0-0 HT 0-0	Genk
25/04/26 Belgium First Division A	Genk	1-1 HT 0-0	Standard Liege
22/02/26 Belgium First Division A	Genk	0-3 HT 0-2	Standard Liege
10/08/25 Belgium First Division A	Standard Liege	2-1 HT 1-0	Genk
14/02/25 Belgium First Division A	Standard Liege	1-2 HT 0-1	Genk
04/12/24 Belgium Cup	Genk	1-1 HT 0-0	Standard Liege

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gent	8	7	1	0	15	4	22
2	Club Brugge	8	7	0	1	19	4	21
3	Charleroi	8	7	0	1	16	7	21
4	Union Saint Gilloise	8	6	2	0	22	4	20
5	Anderlecht	8	5	1	2	9	6	16
6	Westerlo	8	4	1	3	20	17	13
7	Genk	8	3	3	2	16	12	12
8	Zulte-Waregem	8	3	2	3	10	9	11
9	Standard Liege	8	3	2	3	13	13	11
10	Lommel	8	3	2	3	9	9	11
11	SK Beveren	8	3	0	5	8	14	9
12	Sint-Truidense	8	2	2	4	15	16	8
13	Antwerp	8	2	1	5	12	20	7
14	KV Mechelen	8	1	3	4	9	17	6
15	OH Leuven	8	1	2	5	6	14	5
16	RAAL La Louviere	8	1	1	6	8	18	4
17	KV Kortrijk	8	1	0	7	2	18	3
18	Cercle Brugge	8	0	3	5	9	16	3

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Genk	Standard Liege
Gent	1-1 D	1-2 L
Antwerp	4-4 D	1-0 W
Westerlo	3-2 W	2-4 L
OH Leuven	2-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Genk (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Genk

WDLWDWDDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	2-0	3-0	6	4	W
20/09	Club Brugge Belgium First Division A	0-1	0-3	2	3	L
13/09	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
06/09	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
28/08	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	3-0	4-0	3	1	W
22/08	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	1-1	4-4	4	2	D
15/08	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	2-2	3-2	8	6	W
09/08	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-2	3	5	L
31/05	Gent Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
23/05	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	2-0	2-0	4	2	W

Standard Liege

WLDDWWWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
18/09	Gent Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-2	6	1	L
12/09	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	0-1	2-4	7	0	L
05/09	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-0	13	3	W
29/08	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-1	3	4	W
21/08	RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-0	5	3	W
16/08	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	2-1	3-3	2	3	D
08/08	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	7	2	D
23/05	Charleroi Belgium First Division A	0-0	0-2	6	8	L
19/05	Westerlo Belgium First Division A	2-1	2-1	1	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Genk vs Standard Liege?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Genk win (46%). Probabilities: Genk 46%, draw 28%, Standard Liege 26%.

How many goals are expected in Genk vs Standard Liege?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Genk 1.56 · Standard Liege 1.12), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Genk vs Standard Liege?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.