Football · Belgium First Division A · 25/10, 16:00
Prediction: Club Brugge vs Sint-Truidense
Team pages: Club Brugge · Sint-Truidense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.66Total
Club Brugge2.54
Sint-Truidense1.11
1X2
Club Brugge
Draw
Sint-Truidense
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Club Brugge
8-1-1 (W-D-L)
Sint-Truidense
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Brugge
4–1–1
Sint-Truidense
(6 last)
- Club Brugge2-0Sint-Truidense
- Sint-Truidense1-2Club Brugge
- Sint-Truidense3-2Club Brugge
- Club Brugge2-0Sint-Truidense
- Sint-Truidense2-2Club Brugge
- Club Brugge7-0Sint-Truidense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Brugge 1621 · Sint-Truidense 1505
| Club Brugge | Draw | Sint-Truidense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 19% | 14% |
| Market | 68% | 17% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Brugge (rating 1621 vs 1505).
- H2H favours Club Brugge: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Brugge | Sint-Truidense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 0.6 | 1.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/20/0% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.9 / 7.5 | 3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Brugge 4–1–1 Sint-Truidense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Belgium First Division A | Club Brugge | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sint-Truidense |
| 11/04/26 Belgium First Division A | Sint-Truidense | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Club Brugge |
| 06/12/25 Belgium First Division A | Sint-Truidense | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Club Brugge |
| 21/09/25 Belgium First Division A | Club Brugge | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sint-Truidense |
| 15/02/25 Belgium First Division A | Sint-Truidense | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Club Brugge |
| 23/11/24 Belgium First Division A | Club Brugge | 7-0 HT 3-0 | Sint-Truidense |
Standings · Belgium First Division A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gent | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Club Brugge | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Charleroi | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Union Saint Gilloise | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 20 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 13 |
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
| 8 | Zulte-Waregem | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
| 9 | Standard Liege | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 10 | Lommel | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| 11 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 9 |
| 12 | Sint-Truidense | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 8 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 6 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louviere | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 4 |
| 17 | KV Kortrijk | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 3 |
| 18 | Cercle Brugge | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 3 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Brugge | Sint-Truidense |
|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louviere | 4-1 W | 4-0 W |
| Antwerp | 3-1 W | 4-1 W |
| Lommel | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Cercle Brugge | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| KV Mechelen | 2-2 D | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Brugge (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Brugge
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Genk Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/09 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 04/09 | Lommel Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | Gent Belgium First Division A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 23/08 | Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | OH Leuven Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 16 | 0 | W |
| 07/08 | KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Gent Belgium First Division A |
3-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 21/05 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
Sint-Truidense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 20/09 | Westerlo Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | SK Beveren Belgium First Division A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/09 | RAAL La Louviere Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | Antwerp Belgium First Division A |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A |
2-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Lommel Belgium First Division A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/05 | Anderlecht Belgium First Division A |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Brugge vs Sint-Truidense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Brugge win (68%). Probabilities: Club Brugge 68%, draw 18%, Sint-Truidense 14%.
How many goals are expected in Club Brugge vs Sint-Truidense?
The model expects 3.66 goals (Club Brugge 2.54 · Sint-Truidense 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Brugge vs Sint-Truidense?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.