Football · Belgium First Division A · 07/11, 16:00

Prediction: Westerlo vs Charleroi

Team pages: Westerlo · Charleroi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Westerlo1.7

Charleroi1.42

1X2

43% 26% 31%

Westerlo Draw Charleroi

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Westerlo 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDWWWWDL

Charleroi 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Westerlo 3–1–2 Charleroi (6 last)

Charleroi0-1Westerlo
Westerlo2-0Charleroi
Westerlo2-1Charleroi
Charleroi2-0Westerlo
Charleroi4-3Westerlo
Westerlo2-2Charleroi

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Westerlo: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Westerlo	Charleroi
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 2.5	1.8 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1.1	0.8 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.6	2.7 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.94

Under 31.89

Diff.: 0.9 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 20:53

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.93 → 2.96▲	Pinn 2.96
X	3.61 → 3.65▲	Pinn 3.65
2	2.27 → 2.29▲	Pinn 2.29

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:27 +10’	2.93	3.61	2.27
20:29 +24’	2.96▲	3.65▲	2.29▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Westerlo 3–1–2 Charleroi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Belgium First Division A	Charleroi	0-1 HT 0-0	Westerlo
05/04/26 Belgium First Division A	Westerlo	2-0 HT 1-0	Charleroi
22/02/26 Belgium First Division A	Westerlo	2-1 HT 1-1	Charleroi
08/11/25 Belgium First Division A	Charleroi	2-0 HT 1-0	Westerlo
09/05/25 Belgium First Division A	Charleroi	4-3 HT 1-2	Westerlo
11/04/25 Belgium First Division A	Westerlo	2-2 HT 1-1	Charleroi

Standings · Belgium First Division A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Club Brugge	10	9	0	1	26	8	27
2	Union Saint Gilloise	10	8	2	0	29	7	26
3	Gent	9	8	1	0	19	4	25
4	Charleroi	9	7	0	2	16	10	21
5	Anderlecht	10	6	1	3	13	11	19
6	Genk	10	4	3	3	18	14	15
7	Westerlo	10	4	2	4	25	25	14
8	Lommel	9	3	3	3	11	11	12
9	Standard Liege	10	3	3	4	15	16	12
10	Zulte-Waregem	10	3	2	5	12	16	11
11	Antwerp	9	3	1	5	15	20	10
12	SK Beveren	10	3	1	6	13	20	10
13	KV Mechelen	9	2	3	4	10	17	9
14	Sint-Truidense	9	2	2	5	17	19	8
15	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	1	6	11	18	7
16	OH Leuven	9	1	3	5	8	16	6
17	KV Kortrijk	9	1	1	7	3	19	4
18	Cercle Brugge	9	0	3	6	11	21	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Westerlo	Charleroi
Antwerp	5-1 W	0-3 L
Standard Liege	4-2 W	1-0 W
KV Mechelen	4-0 W	2-0 W
Zulte-Waregem	2-2 D	1-0 W
Lommel	0-4 L	1-0 W
Union Saint Gilloise	1-5 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Westerlo

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Anderlecht Belgium First Division A	0-3	1-4	5	3	L
24/10	SK Beveren Belgium First Division A	2-1	4-4	3	5	D
11/10	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	1-1	5-1	3	6	W
20/09	Sint-Truidense Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
12/09	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	1-0	4-2	1	0	W
05/09	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	2-0	4-0	6	5	W
30/08	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-1	2-2	3	1	D
23/08	Lommel Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-4	4	0	L
15/08	Genk Belgium First Division A	2-2	2-3	4	6	L
08/08	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	1-1	1-5	4	3	L

Charleroi

WWWWWLWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Antwerp Belgium First Division A	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
11/10	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
19/09	Cercle Brugge Belgium First Division A	2-1	3-2	3	2	W
13/09	Zulte-Waregem Belgium First Division A	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Union Saint Gilloise Belgium First Division A	2-2	2-3	5	3	L
29/08	KV Kortrijk Belgium First Division A	1-1	3-1	5	2	W
22/08	KV Mechelen Belgium First Division A	1-0	2-0	3	0	W
16/08	Lommel Belgium First Division A	0-0	1-0	12	1	W
09/08	OH Leuven Belgium First Division A	1-1	3-1	6	4	W
23/05	Standard Liege Belgium First Division A	0-0	2-0	9	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Westerlo vs Charleroi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Westerlo win (43%). Probabilities: Westerlo 43%, draw 26%, Charleroi 31%.

How many goals are expected in Westerlo vs Charleroi?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Westerlo 1.7 · Charleroi 1.42), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Westerlo vs Charleroi?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.