Football · Austria Bundesliga · 09/08, 17:00
Prediction: SV Ried vs Rapid Vienna
Team pages: SV Ried · Rapid Vienna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
SV Ried1.27
Rapid Vienna1.4
1X2
SV Ried
Draw
Rapid Vienna
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SV Ried
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Rapid Vienna
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SV Ried
3–3
Rapid Vienna
(6 last)
- Rapid Vienna3-0SV Ried
- SV Ried2-1Rapid Vienna
- SV Ried3-0Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna1-2SV Ried
- SV Ried0-2Rapid Vienna
- Rapid Vienna2-1SV Ried
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Ried 1514 · Rapid Vienna 1580
| SV Ried | Draw | Rapid Vienna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 28% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rapid Vienna (rating 1514 vs 1580).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Ried | Rapid Vienna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 2.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 1.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5 | 2.8 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 1.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Ried 3–0–3 Rapid Vienna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/26 Austria Bundesliga | Rapid Vienna | 3-0 HT 1-0 | SV Ried |
| 22/05/26 Austria Bundesliga | SV Ried | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Rapid Vienna |
| 31/01/26 Austria Cup | SV Ried | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Rapid Vienna |
| 06/12/25 Austria Bundesliga | Rapid Vienna | 1-2 HT 1-1 | SV Ried |
| 26/10/25 Austria Bundesliga | SV Ried | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Rapid Vienna |
| 05/04/23 Austria Cup | Rapid Vienna | 2-1 HT 1-0 | SV Ried |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LASK Linz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Wolfsberger AC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Austria Lustenau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | SK Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | SV Ried | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | SCR Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Rapid Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hartberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | FK Austria Vienna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Ried
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Cup |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Rot-Weiss Essen Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Jahn Regensburg Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | SV Austria Salzburg Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/05 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Rapid Vienna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | FC Santa Coloma UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
3-1 | 6-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | SV Wienerberg Austria Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 23/07 | FC Santa Coloma UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Hamburg Europe Friendlies |
3-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/07 | Panathinaikos Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 12/07 | Hertha Wels Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 05/07 | Rapid Bucuresti Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 05/07 | Pardubice Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/06 | Floridsdorfer AC Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Ried vs Rapid Vienna?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Rapid Vienna win (39%). Probabilities: SV Ried 33%, draw 28%, Rapid Vienna 39%.
How many goals are expected in SV Ried vs Rapid Vienna?
The model expects 2.66 goals (SV Ried 1.27 · Rapid Vienna 1.4), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Ried vs Rapid Vienna?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.