Football · Austria Bundesliga · 16/08, 17:00

Prediction: WSG Swarovski Tirol vs FC Salzburg

Team pages: WSG Swarovski Tirol · FC Salzburg

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.32Total
WSG Swarovski Tirol1.12
FC Salzburg2.2
1X2
17% 22% 61%
WSG Swarovski Tirol Draw FC Salzburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
WSG Swarovski Tirol 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DLWLDLLWDL
FC Salzburg 6-1-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWLLWWWD
Head-to-head
WSG Swarovski Tirol 1–3–2 FC Salzburg (6 last)
  • FC Salzburg2-3WSG Swarovski Tirol
  • FC Salzburg1-1WSG Swarovski Tirol
  • WSG Swarovski Tirol1-2FC Salzburg
  • FC Salzburg1-1WSG Swarovski Tirol
  • FC Salzburg3-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
  • WSG Swarovski Tirol0-0FC Salzburg
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1480 · FC Salzburg 1542
WSG Swarovski TirolDrawFC Salzburg
Our model18%22%61%
Market17%23%60%
Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Salzburg (rating 1480 vs 1542).
  • H2H favours FC Salzburg: 2-3-1.
  • High corners: 13.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

WSG Swarovski TirolFC Salzburg
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 1.72.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.70.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)33/33/33%40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 3.85.3 / 9.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 01.8 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · WSG Swarovski Tirol 132 FC Salzburg

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/11/25
Austria Bundesliga
FC Salzburg2-3
HT 2-0
WSG Swarovski Tirol
30/10/25
Austria Cup
FC Salzburg1-1
HT 0-0
WSG Swarovski Tirol
28/09/25
Austria Bundesliga
WSG Swarovski Tirol1-2
HT 0-1
FC Salzburg
15/02/25
Austria Bundesliga
FC Salzburg1-1
HT 0-1
WSG Swarovski Tirol
30/10/24
Austria Cup
FC Salzburg3-0
HT 1-0
WSG Swarovski Tirol
22/09/24
Austria Bundesliga
WSG Swarovski Tirol0-0
HT 0-0
FC Salzburg

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 SK Sturm Graz 2110 314
2 LASK Linz 1100 303
3 Rapid Vienna 1100 103
4 Wolfsberger AC 1100 303
5 FC Salzburg 1100 103
6 SCR Altach 2101 323
7 Grazer AK 2101 243
8 SV Ried 1010 111
9 Austria Lustenau 2011 231
10 WSG Swarovski Tirol 2011 241
11 FK Austria Vienna 1001 030
11 Hartberg 2002 030

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWSG Swarovski TirolFC Salzburg
Gornik Zabrze 0-0 D 2-1 W
Wolfsberger AC 0-2 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Salzburg (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

WSG Swarovski Tirol

DLWLDLLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 SCR Altach
Austria Bundesliga
1-1 1-3 52 L
01/08 SK Sturm Graz
Austria Bundesliga
1-1 1-1 15 D
24/07 SC Wieselburg
Austria Cup
2-0 6-0 40 W
17/07 Hertha Berlin
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-3 53 L
10/07 Polissya Zhytomyr
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 30 L
04/07 Gornik Zabrze
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 70 D
27/06 FK Qarabag
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-4 30 L
19/06 FC Zirl
Club Friendly List
16-1 W
16/05 Wolfsberger AC
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 0-2 43 L
09/05 FC Blau Weiss Linz
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 1-1 24 D

FC Salzburg

LWWWLLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Wolfsberger AC
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 1-1 86 D
06/08 Pafos FC
UEFA Europa League Qualifying
0-0 1-0 135 W
01/08 Hartberg
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 1-0 190 W
25/07 Oberwart
Austria Cup
3-1 7-1 53 W
15/07 Istanbul Basaksehir
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-2 41 L
15/07 Gamba Osaka
World Club Friendlies
0-2 0-3 L
09/07 FC Kharkiv
Europe Friendlies
2-0 4-0 50 W
04/07 Gornik Zabrze
Europe Friendlies
1-0 2-1 60 W
26/06 Seekirchen
Europe Friendlies
3-0 5-0 120 W
17/05 Hartberg
Austria Bundesliga
0-2 1-3 132 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs FC Salzburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Salzburg win (61%). Probabilities: WSG Swarovski Tirol 17%, draw 22%, FC Salzburg 61%.

How many goals are expected in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs FC Salzburg?

The model expects 3.32 goals (WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.12 · FC Salzburg 2.2), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs FC Salzburg?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.