Football · Austria Bundesliga · 15/08, 19:30
Prediction: SK Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach
Team pages: SK Sturm Graz · SCR Altach
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
SK Sturm Graz1.75
SCR Altach0.95
1X2
SK Sturm Graz
Draw
SCR Altach
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
SK Sturm Graz
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
SCR Altach
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SK Sturm Graz
4–2–0
SCR Altach
(6 last)
- SK Sturm Graz2-0SCR Altach
- SCR Altach1-1SK Sturm Graz
- SCR Altach0-2SK Sturm Graz
- SCR Altach1-1SK Sturm Graz
- SK Sturm Graz2-1SCR Altach
- SK Sturm Graz1-0SCR Altach
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SK Sturm Graz 1586 · SCR Altach 1504
| SK Sturm Graz | Draw | SCR Altach | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 26% | 19% |
| Market | 55% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Sturm Graz (rating 1586 vs 1504).
- H2H favours SK Sturm Graz: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SK Sturm Graz | SCR Altach | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.2 | 1.7 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.1 | 2.4 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Sturm Graz 4–2–0 SCR Altach
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Austria Bundesliga | SK Sturm Graz | 2-0 HT 0-0 | SCR Altach |
| 01/02/26 Austria Cup | SCR Altach | 1-1 HT 0-0 | SK Sturm Graz |
| 05/10/25 Austria Bundesliga | SCR Altach | 0-2 HT 0-0 | SK Sturm Graz |
| 30/11/24 Austria Bundesliga | SCR Altach | 1-1 HT 0-1 | SK Sturm Graz |
| 24/08/24 Austria Bundesliga | SK Sturm Graz | 2-1 HT 0-0 | SCR Altach |
| 10/12/23 Austria Bundesliga | SK Sturm Graz | 1-0 HT 1-0 | SCR Altach |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | LASK Linz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Rapid Vienna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | SCR Altach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Grazer AK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | SV Ried | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Austria Lustenau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | FK Austria Vienna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Hartberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SK Sturm Graz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 05/08 | Fenerbahce UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 28/07 | Hearts UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24/07 | Seekirchen Austria Cup |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/07 | Hearts UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/07 | Pogon Szczecin Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | SC Kalsdorf Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | FC Kosice Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 30/06 | LNZ Lebedyn Europe Friendlies |
1-4 | 2-6 | 1 | 3 | L |
SCR Altach
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | SV Leobendorf Austria Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 10/07 | FC Vaduz Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/07 | Heidenheim Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | St Gallen Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | FC Horbranz Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 04/05 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SK Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Sturm Graz win (55%). Probabilities: SK Sturm Graz 55%, draw 26%, SCR Altach 19%.
How many goals are expected in SK Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
The model expects 2.71 goals (SK Sturm Graz 1.75 · SCR Altach 0.95), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in SK Sturm Graz vs SCR Altach?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.