Football · Austria Bundesliga · 15/08, 17:00

Prediction: Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC

Team pages: Austria Lustenau · Wolfsberger AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Austria Lustenau1.13

Wolfsberger AC1.54

1X2

27% 28% 46%

Austria Lustenau Draw Wolfsberger AC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Austria Lustenau 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDLWWDLWDL

Wolfsberger AC 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDWWWW

Head-to-head

Austria Lustenau 0–4–2 Wolfsberger AC (6 last)

Austria Lustenau1-2Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC1-1Austria Lustenau
Austria Lustenau2-3Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC1-1Austria Lustenau
Wolfsberger AC1-1Austria Lustenau
Wolfsberger AC2-2Austria Lustenau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Austria Lustenau 1524 · Wolfsberger AC 1621

	Austria Lustenau	Draw	Wolfsberger AC
Our model	27%	28%	45%
Market	27%	27%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolfsberger AC (rating 1524 vs 1621).
H2H favours Wolfsberger AC: 2-4-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Austria Lustenau	Wolfsberger AC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.6	5.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.2	2.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/67/11%	80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	2.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	1.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.25

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.77

2 (-0.5)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.99 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.53
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:46 +2’	3.30	3.25	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:12 +1’	3.99	3.53	1.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Austria Lustenau 0–4–2 Wolfsberger AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/04/24 Austria Bundesliga	Austria Lustenau	1-2 HT 0-0	Wolfsberger AC
20/04/24 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1-1 HT 1-1	Austria Lustenau
11/11/23 Austria Bundesliga	Austria Lustenau	2-3 HT 0-1	Wolfsberger AC
12/08/23 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1-1 HT 0-0	Austria Lustenau
05/06/23 Austria Bundesliga Play-Offs	Wolfsberger AC	1-1 HT 0-0	Austria Lustenau
13/05/23 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	2-2 HT 2-2	Austria Lustenau

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SK Sturm Graz	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
2	LASK Linz	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
3	Rapid Vienna	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
4	Wolfsberger AC	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
5	FC Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
6	SCR Altach	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
7	Grazer AK	2	1	0	1	2	4	3
8	SV Ried	1	0	1	0	1	1	1
9	Austria Lustenau	2	0	1	1	2	3	1
10	WSG Swarovski Tirol	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
11	FK Austria Vienna	1	0	0	1	0	3	0
11	Hartberg	2	0	0	2	0	3	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Austria Lustenau

WDLWWDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-1	1-2	6	3	L
02/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
25/07	Kremser SC Austria Cup	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
16/07	Nurnberg II Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
15/07	SW Bregenz Europe Friendlies	1-0	1-1	3	6	D
10/07	Aarau Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
04/07	St Gallen Club Friendly List	–	1-0	–	–	W
04/07	FC Vaduz Club Friendly List	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/07	Young Boys Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
26/06	Wil 1900 Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	6	0	W

Wolfsberger AC

WWWWDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
24/07	FC Lauterach Austria Cup	3-0	5-1	–	–	W
20/07	Atus Velden Europe Friendlies	2-0	4-0	15	2	W
17/07	SV Kapfenberg Europe Friendlies	3-0	6-1	4	1	W
13/07	Hradec Kralove Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	2	0	D
10/07	FC Kharkiv Europe Friendlies	2-2	3-3	3	4	D
03/07	Admira Wacker Europe Friendlies	5-2	8-2	13	1	W
30/06	FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
27/06	Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Europe Friendlies	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
20/06	WSG Radenthein Club Friendly List	8-0	18-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wolfsberger AC win (46%). Probabilities: Austria Lustenau 27%, draw 28%, Wolfsberger AC 46%.

How many goals are expected in Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Austria Lustenau 1.13 · Wolfsberger AC 1.54), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.