Football · Austria Bundesliga · 14/08, 19:30
Prediction: LASK Linz vs SV Ried
Team pages: LASK Linz · SV Ried
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.93Total
LASK Linz2.02
SV Ried0.91
1X2
LASK Linz
Draw
SV Ried
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
LASK Linz
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
SV Ried
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LASK Linz
0–5–1
SV Ried
(6 last)
- SV Ried1-1LASK Linz
- SV Ried1-1LASK Linz
- LASK Linz1-3SV Ried
- SV Ried1-1LASK Linz
- LASK Linz1-1SV Ried
- SV Ried1-1LASK Linz
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · LASK Linz 1566 · SV Ried 1525
| LASK Linz | Draw | SV Ried | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 63% | 22% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LASK Linz (rating 1566 vs 1525).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LASK Linz | SV Ried | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.9 / 0.7 | 1.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/10/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.4 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 2.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LASK Linz 0–5–1 SV Ried
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 Austria Cup | SV Ried | 1-1 HT 0-0 | LASK Linz |
| 14/02/26 Austria Bundesliga | SV Ried | 1-1 HT 1-0 | LASK Linz |
| 30/08/25 Austria Bundesliga | LASK Linz | 1-3 HT 0-2 | SV Ried |
| 18/02/23 Austria Bundesliga | SV Ried | 1-1 HT 1-0 | LASK Linz |
| 04/09/22 Austria Bundesliga | LASK Linz | 1-1 HT 1-0 | SV Ried |
| 14/05/22 Austria Bundesliga | SV Ried | 1-1 HT 1-0 | LASK Linz |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SK Sturm Graz | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | LASK Linz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Rapid Vienna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | SCR Altach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Grazer AK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 8 | SV Ried | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Austria Lustenau | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | FK Austria Vienna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Hartberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LASK Linz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | SC Kalsdorf Austria Cup |
1-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | Fortuna Dusseldorf Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 14/07 | Fenerbahce Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 09/07 | FC Ingolstadt Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/07 | Dynamo Kiev Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/06 | Hertha Wels Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 24/06 | SV Sedda Bad Schallerbach Club Friendly List |
4-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
SV Ried
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | FC Dornbirn 1913 Austria Cup |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Rot-Weiss Essen Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/07 | Jahn Regensburg Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/06 | SV Austria Salzburg Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 25/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/05 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LASK Linz vs SV Ried?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LASK Linz win (62%). Probabilities: LASK Linz 62%, draw 22%, SV Ried 15%.
How many goals are expected in LASK Linz vs SV Ried?
The model expects 2.93 goals (LASK Linz 2.02 · SV Ried 0.91), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in LASK Linz vs SV Ried?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.