Football · Austria Bundesliga · 16/08, 19:00

Prediction: Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK

Team pages: Rapid Vienna · Grazer AK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Rapid Vienna1.67
Grazer AK1.17
1X2
48% 27% 25%
Rapid Vienna Draw Grazer AK
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rapid Vienna 9-1-0 (W-D-L)
DWWWWWWWWW
Grazer AK 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWDLLWLWLW
Head-to-head
Rapid Vienna 1–2–1 Grazer AK (4 last)
  • Rapid Vienna1-2Grazer AK
  • Grazer AK1-1Rapid Vienna
  • Rapid Vienna3-0Grazer AK
  • Grazer AK1-1Rapid Vienna
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rapid Vienna 1622 · Grazer AK 1508
Rapid ViennaDrawGrazer AK
Our model48%27%26%
Market47%28%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rapid Vienna (rating 1622 vs 1508).
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Rapid ViennaGrazer AK
Goals for / against (FT)2.8 / 0.91.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.3 / 0.40.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)60/40/0%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 5.42.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.2 / 02.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Rapid Vienna 121 Grazer AK

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DateHomeScoreAway
23/11/25
Austria Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna1-2
HT 0-0
Grazer AK
21/09/25
Austria Bundesliga
Grazer AK1-1
HT 0-1
Rapid Vienna
16/03/25
Austria Bundesliga
Rapid Vienna3-0
HT 3-0
Grazer AK
27/10/24
Austria Bundesliga
Grazer AK1-1
HT 0-0
Rapid Vienna

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 SK Sturm Graz 2110 314
2 LASK Linz 1100 303
3 Rapid Vienna 1100 103
4 Wolfsberger AC 1100 303
5 FC Salzburg 1100 103
6 SCR Altach 2101 323
7 Grazer AK 2101 243
8 SV Ried 1010 111
9 Austria Lustenau 2011 231
10 WSG Swarovski Tirol 2011 241
11 FK Austria Vienna 1001 030
11 Hartberg 2002 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Rapid Vienna

DWWWWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 SV Ried
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 2-1 42 W
06/08 Paide Linnameeskond
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
1-1 4-1 52 W
02/08 SCR Altach
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 1-0 62 W
29/07 FC Santa Coloma
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
3-1 6-2 24 W
26/07 SV Wienerberg
Austria Cup
1-0 3-0 70 W
23/07 FC Santa Coloma
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 3-1 70 W
18/07 Hamburg
Europe Friendlies
3-2 3-2 41 W
15/07 Panathinaikos
Europe Friendlies
3-0 4-1 30 W
12/07 Hertha Wels
Europe Friendlies
0-0 2-1 111 W
05/07 Rapid Bucuresti
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 50 D

Grazer AK

DWDLLWLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Austria Lustenau
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 2-1 53 W
31/07 LASK Linz
Austria Bundesliga
0-2 0-3 22 L
25/07 SR Fach-Donaufeld
Austria Cup
1-0 4-0 34 W
18/07 Dynamo Dresden
Club Friendly List
0-2 0-5 L
11/07 SV Kapfenberg
Europe Friendlies
0-0 1-0 120 W
07/07 First Vienna FC 1894
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-4 102 L
24/06 Slovan Bratislava
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-1 20 L
19/06 Gyori ETO
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-2 20 D
16/05 FC Blau Weiss Linz
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 3-0 43 W
09/05 SCR Altach
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 2-2 66 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rapid Vienna win (48%). Probabilities: Rapid Vienna 48%, draw 27%, Grazer AK 25%.

How many goals are expected in Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Rapid Vienna 1.67 · Grazer AK 1.17), with a 58% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Rapid Vienna vs Grazer AK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.