Football · Austria Bundesliga · 09/08, 17:00
Prediction: Wolfsberger AC vs FC Salzburg
Team pages: Wolfsberger AC · FC Salzburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
Wolfsberger AC1.45
FC Salzburg1.88
1X2
Wolfsberger AC
Draw
FC Salzburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wolfsberger AC
8-2-0 (W-D-L)
FC Salzburg
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wolfsberger AC
2–1–3
FC Salzburg
(6 last)
- Wolfsberger AC0-1FC Salzburg
- FC Salzburg2-1Wolfsberger AC
- Wolfsberger AC3-1FC Salzburg
- Wolfsberger AC2-1FC Salzburg
- FC Salzburg1-1Wolfsberger AC
- FC Salzburg1-0Wolfsberger AC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wolfsberger AC 1627 · FC Salzburg 1530
| Wolfsberger AC | Draw | FC Salzburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 24% | 47% |
| Market | 28% | 26% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolfsberger AC (rating 1627 vs 1530).
- H2H favours FC Salzburg: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 13.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wolfsberger AC | FC Salzburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 5.2 / 0.8 | 2.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 2.6 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 80/10/10% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.8 | 4.3 / 8.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0.1 | 1.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolfsberger AC 2–1–3 FC Salzburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Austria Cup | Wolfsberger AC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Salzburg |
| 14/12/25 Austria Bundesliga | FC Salzburg | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Wolfsberger AC |
| 13/09/25 Austria Bundesliga | Wolfsberger AC | 3-1 HT 2-0 | FC Salzburg |
| 27/04/25 Austria Bundesliga | Wolfsberger AC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | FC Salzburg |
| 23/04/25 Austria Bundesliga | FC Salzburg | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Wolfsberger AC |
| 16/03/25 Austria Bundesliga | FC Salzburg | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Wolfsberger AC |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LASK Linz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Wolfsberger AC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Salzburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Austria Lustenau | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | SK Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | SV Ried | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | SCR Altach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Rapid Vienna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Hartberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 | FK Austria Vienna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Grazer AK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wolfsberger AC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | FC Lauterach Austria Cup |
3-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 20/07 | Atus Velden Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 15 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | SV Kapfenberg Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 6-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/07 | Hradec Kralove Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 10/07 | FC Kharkiv Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/07 | Admira Wacker Europe Friendlies |
5-2 | 8-2 | 13 | 1 | W |
| 30/06 | FK Zeleznicar Pancevo Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Nyiregyhaza Spartacus Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | WSG Radenthein Club Friendly List |
8-0 | 18-0 | – | – | W |
FC Salzburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 19 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Oberwart Austria Cup |
3-1 | 7-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/07 | Istanbul Basaksehir Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 15/07 | Gamba Osaka World Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/07 | FC Kharkiv Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 04/07 | Gornik Zabrze Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/06 | Seekirchen Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 1-3 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wolfsberger AC vs FC Salzburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Salzburg win (47%). Probabilities: Wolfsberger AC 28%, draw 25%, FC Salzburg 47%.
How many goals are expected in Wolfsberger AC vs FC Salzburg?
The model expects 3.33 goals (Wolfsberger AC 1.45 · FC Salzburg 1.88), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Wolfsberger AC vs FC Salzburg?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.