Football · Austria Bundesliga · 29/08, 17:00

Prediction: Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC

Team pages: Grazer AK · Wolfsberger AC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.99Total
Grazer AK1.37
Wolfsberger AC1.62
1X2
31% 27% 42%
Grazer AK Draw Wolfsberger AC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Grazer AK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
DLLWDWLWLL
Wolfsberger AC 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
DDLWWWWWDL
Head-to-head
Grazer AK 1–1–4 Wolfsberger AC (6 last)
  • Wolfsberger AC1-0Grazer AK
  • Grazer AK2-0Wolfsberger AC
  • Wolfsberger AC2-2Grazer AK
  • Grazer AK1-3Wolfsberger AC
  • Grazer AK3-4Wolfsberger AC
  • Wolfsberger AC4-2Grazer AK
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grazer AK 1476 · Wolfsberger AC 1595
Grazer AKDrawWolfsberger AC
Our model31%26%42%
Market31%27%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.99 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wolfsberger AC (rating 1476 vs 1595).
  • H2H favours Wolfsberger AC: 4-1-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Grazer AKWolfsberger AC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.91.3 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 1.10.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.22.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 03.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Grazer AK 114 Wolfsberger AC

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/04/26
Austria Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC1-0
HT 0-0
Grazer AK
14/03/26
Austria Bundesliga
Grazer AK2-0
HT 1-0
Wolfsberger AC
08/02/26
Austria Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC2-2
HT 1-1
Grazer AK
04/10/25
Austria Bundesliga
Grazer AK1-3
HT 1-1
Wolfsberger AC
30/11/24
Austria Bundesliga
Grazer AK3-4
HT 3-0
Wolfsberger AC
25/08/24
Austria Bundesliga
Wolfsberger AC4-2
HT 1-0
Grazer AK

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Rapid Vienna 3300 1119
2 LASK Linz 3300 919
3 SK Sturm Graz 4220 528
4 FC Salzburg 3210 517
5 Austria Lustenau 4121 555
6 Wolfsberger AC 3111 534
7 SV Ried 4112 474
8 FK Austria Vienna 3102 253
9 Hartberg 4103 263
10 Grazer AK 4103 2133
11 SCR Altach 4103 453
12 WSG Swarovski Tirol 3012 271

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentGrazer AKWolfsberger AC
SV Ried 0-1 L 1-0 W
Austria Lustenau 2-1 W 1-2 L
FC Blau Weiss Linz 3-0 W 0-3 L
SCR Altach 2-2 D 4-1 W
WSG Swarovski Tirol 4-0 W 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 1 D 1 L 3 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Grazer AK (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grazer AK

DLLWDWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 SV Ried
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 0-1 47 L
16/08 Rapid Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
0-5 0-8 14 L
08/08 Austria Lustenau
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 2-1 53 W
31/07 LASK Linz
Austria Bundesliga
0-2 0-3 22 L
16/05 FC Blau Weiss Linz
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 3-0 43 W
09/05 SCR Altach
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 2-2 66 D
02/05 WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austria Bundesliga
2-0 4-0 43 W
25/04 Wolfsberger AC
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 0-1 83 L
21/04 SV Ried
Austria Bundesliga
0-2 1-2 46 L
17/04 SV Ried
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 1-1 44 D

Wolfsberger AC

DDLWWWWWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Austria Lustenau
Austria Bundesliga
1-2 1-2 43 L
09/08 FC Salzburg
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 1-1 46 D
02/08 FK Austria Vienna
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 3-0 53 W
16/05 WSG Swarovski Tirol
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 2-0 43 W
09/05 SV Ried
Austria Bundesliga
1-0 1-0 54 W
04/05 SCR Altach
Austria Bundesliga
2-1 4-1 45 W
25/04 Grazer AK
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 1-0 53 W
21/04 FC Blau Weiss Linz
Austria Bundesliga
0-1 0-3 35 L
18/04 FC Blau Weiss Linz
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 0-0 53 D
11/04 SV Ried
Austria Bundesliga
0-0 0-0 72 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wolfsberger AC win (42%). Probabilities: Grazer AK 31%, draw 27%, Wolfsberger AC 42%.

How many goals are expected in Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model expects 2.99 goals (Grazer AK 1.37 · Wolfsberger AC 1.62), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.