Football · Austria Bundesliga · 17/10, 19:30
Prediction: SV Ried vs FK Austria Vienna
Team pages: SV Ried · FK Austria Vienna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.25Total
SV Ried1.73
FK Austria Vienna1.53
1X2
SV Ried
Draw
FK Austria Vienna
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
SV Ried
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
FK Austria Vienna
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
SV Ried
1–5
FK Austria Vienna
(6 last)
- SV Ried0-2FK Austria Vienna
- FK Austria Vienna3-2SV Ried
- SV Ried1-3FK Austria Vienna
- FK Austria Vienna3-0SV Ried
- FK Austria Vienna4-1SV Ried
- SV Ried2-1FK Austria Vienna
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SV Ried 1511 · FK Austria Vienna 1502
| SV Ried | Draw | FK Austria Vienna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | 41% | 26% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FK Austria Vienna: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SV Ried | FK Austria Vienna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 2.2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Ried 1–0–5 FK Austria Vienna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Austria Bundesliga | SV Ried | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FK Austria Vienna |
| 20/09/25 Austria Bundesliga | FK Austria Vienna | 3-2 HT 0-2 | SV Ried |
| 04/03/23 Austria Bundesliga | SV Ried | 1-3 HT 1-1 | FK Austria Vienna |
| 18/09/22 Austria Bundesliga | FK Austria Vienna | 3-0 HT 1-0 | SV Ried |
| 23/10/21 Austria Bundesliga | FK Austria Vienna | 4-1 HT 2-1 | SV Ried |
| 25/07/21 Austria Bundesliga | SV Ried | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FK Austria Vienna |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Salzburg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | LASK Linz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
| 6 | SV Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 7 | Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 9 |
| 8 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 9 | Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 8 |
| 10 | FK Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
| 11 | SCR Altach | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | SV Ried | FK Austria Vienna |
|---|---|---|
| WSG Swarovski Tirol | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Wolfsberger AC | 4-1 W | 0-3 L |
| FC Salzburg | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Hartberg | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Grazer AK | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| LASK Linz | 1-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Rapid Vienna | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Austria Lustenau | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
SV Ried
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
3-0 | 4-1 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 11/09 | FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 14/08 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
1-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 25/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
FK Austria Vienna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 13/09 | Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/09 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 30/08 | FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga |
0-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in SV Ried vs FK Austria Vienna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Ried win (41%). Probabilities: SV Ried 41%, draw 26%, FK Austria Vienna 33%.
How many goals are expected in SV Ried vs FK Austria Vienna?
The model expects 3.25 goals (SV Ried 1.73 · FK Austria Vienna 1.53), with a 55% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in SV Ried vs FK Austria Vienna?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.