Football · Austria Bundesliga · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC

Team pages: Hartberg · Wolfsberger AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

Hartberg1.69

Wolfsberger AC1.43

1X2

43% 26% 32%

Hartberg Draw Wolfsberger AC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hartberg 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWDDWL

Wolfsberger AC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WWDLDLLLLL

Head-to-head

Hartberg 3–1–2 Wolfsberger AC (6 last)

Wolfsberger AC1-2Hartberg
Hartberg2-2Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC1-0Hartberg
Hartberg0-3Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC2-3Hartberg
Hartberg2-0Wolfsberger AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hartberg 1535 · Wolfsberger AC 1438

	Hartberg	Draw	Wolfsberger AC
Our model	43%	26%	32%
Market	43%	26%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hartberg (rating 1535 vs 1438).
H2H favours Hartberg: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hartberg	Wolfsberger AC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2	0.9 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.5	2.2 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.60

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.15▼	Pinn 2.22
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Bet365 3.60
2	2.70 → 2.90▲	Pinn 3.17 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.8% Pinnacle margin 5.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:01 +30’	2.38	3.50	2.70
22:13 +5’	2.15▼	3.60▲	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:48 +9’	2.27	3.62	2.91
16:17 +54’	2.24▼	3.49▼	3.15▲
20:21 +12’	2.22▼	3.51▲	3.17▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hartberg 3–1–2 Wolfsberger AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/11/25 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	1-2 HT 0-1	Hartberg
20/09/25 Austria Bundesliga	Hartberg	2-2 HT 1-2	Wolfsberger AC
01/05/25 Austria Cup	Wolfsberger AC	1-0 HT 0-0	Hartberg
01/03/25 Austria Bundesliga	Hartberg	0-3 HT 0-1	Wolfsberger AC
05/10/24 Austria Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC	2-3 HT 0-1	Hartberg
10/12/23 Austria Bundesliga	Hartberg	2-0 HT 1-0	Wolfsberger AC

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	9	8	0	1	26	8	24
2	FC Salzburg	9	6	3	0	21	4	21
3	LASK Linz	9	6	1	2	23	9	19
4	SK Sturm Graz	9	5	2	2	16	10	17
5	SV Ried	9	4	2	3	16	15	14
6	WSG Swarovski Tirol	9	3	2	4	12	14	11
7	Hartberg	9	3	2	4	15	19	11
8	Grazer AK	9	2	3	4	7	22	9
9	Austria Lustenau	9	2	2	5	11	19	8
10	FK Austria Vienna	9	2	1	6	9	18	7
11	SCR Altach	9	2	0	7	8	15	6
12	Wolfsberger AC	9	1	2	6	7	18	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hartberg	Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna	1-3 L	0-3 L
Austria Lustenau	4-3 W	1-2 L
LASK Linz	3-3 D	1-3 L
WSG Swarovski Tirol	2-2 D	0-2 L
SV Ried	3-2 W	1-4 L
SCR Altach	2-1 W	0-3 L
FK Austria Vienna	0-2 L	3-0 W
FC Salzburg	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Hartberg (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hartberg

WLLLWWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-2	1-3	5	3	L
11/10	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-2	4-3	4	1	W
20/09	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-2	3-3	1	4	D
13/09	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	2-0	2-2	5	0	D
30/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	2-1	3-2	3	3	W
22/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-1	2	2	W
16/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
08/08	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
01/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
17/05	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-1	2	2	W

Wolfsberger AC

WWDLDLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	10	4	L
11/10	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	4	5	L
20/09	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-3	1-4	9	7	L
12/09	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	1	6	L
01/09	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	1-3	1	5	L
29/08	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-0	4	7	D
15/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-2	1-2	4	3	L
09/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
02/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
16/05	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hartberg win (43%). Probabilities: Hartberg 43%, draw 26%, Wolfsberger AC 32%.

How many goals are expected in Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model expects 3.12 goals (Hartberg 1.69 · Wolfsberger AC 1.43), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hartberg vs Wolfsberger AC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.