Football · Austria Bundesliga · 24/10, 17:00

Prediction: WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK

Team pages: WSG Swarovski Tirol · Grazer AK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

WSG Swarovski Tirol1.56

Grazer AK1.56

1X2

37% 27% 37%

WSG Swarovski Tirol Draw Grazer AK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

WSG Swarovski Tirol 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LDLLWWDLLW

Grazer AK 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDWDDL

Head-to-head

WSG Swarovski Tirol 1–3–2 Grazer AK (6 last)

Grazer AK4-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
WSG Swarovski Tirol1-5Grazer AK
WSG Swarovski Tirol2-0Grazer AK
Grazer AK1-1WSG Swarovski Tirol
WSG Swarovski Tirol1-1Grazer AK
Grazer AK0-0WSG Swarovski Tirol

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1509 · Grazer AK 1537

	WSG Swarovski Tirol	Draw	Grazer AK
Our model	37%	26%	37%
Market	36%	28%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Grazer AK: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	WSG Swarovski Tirol	Grazer AK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	1 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.6 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.3	1.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.30

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.55▼	Bet365 2.55
X	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.47
2	2.45 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.85 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.7% Pinnacle margin 4.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:16 +15’	2.63	3.30	2.45
19:29 +1’	2.55▼	3.30	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:16 +12’	2.44	3.47	2.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1–3–2 Grazer AK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Austria Bundesliga	Grazer AK	4-0 HT 2-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol
21/03/26 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	1-5 HT 1-2	Grazer AK
08/03/26 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	2-0 HT 2-0	Grazer AK
16/08/25 Austria Bundesliga	Grazer AK	1-1 HT 0-1	WSG Swarovski Tirol
23/05/25 Austria Bundesliga	WSG Swarovski Tirol	1-1 HT 1-1	Grazer AK
29/03/25 Austria Bundesliga	Grazer AK	0-0 HT 0-0	WSG Swarovski Tirol

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	9	8	0	1	26	8	24
2	FC Salzburg	9	6	3	0	21	4	21
3	LASK Linz	9	6	1	2	23	9	19
4	SK Sturm Graz	9	5	2	2	16	10	17
5	SV Ried	9	4	2	3	16	15	14
6	WSG Swarovski Tirol	9	3	2	4	12	14	11
7	Hartberg	9	3	2	4	15	19	11
8	Grazer AK	9	2	3	4	7	22	9
9	Austria Lustenau	9	2	2	5	11	19	8
10	FK Austria Vienna	9	2	1	6	9	18	7
11	SCR Altach	9	2	0	7	8	15	6
12	Wolfsberger AC	9	1	2	6	7	18	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	WSG Swarovski Tirol	Grazer AK
Wolfsberger AC	2-0 W	0-0 D
SV Ried	1-2 L	0-1 L
Rapid Vienna	0-3 L	0-8 L
FK Austria Vienna	1-0 W	2-2 D
Austria Lustenau	4-0 W	2-1 W
FC Salzburg	0-3 L	0-0 D
SCR Altach	1-3 L	2-1 W
SK Sturm Graz	1-1 D	1-6 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: WSG Swarovski Tirol (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

WSG Swarovski Tirol

LDLLWWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
10/10	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	1-2	1-2	7	3	L
18/09	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
13/09	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	0-2	2-2	14	0	D
02/09	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
28/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-0	4-0	12	3	W
16/08	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
07/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-3	5	2	L
01/08	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
16/05	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L

Grazer AK

WLWLLDWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-3	1-6	2	3	L
10/10	FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
19/09	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-1	2-2	2	8	D
12/09	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	2-1	2-1	2	2	W
29/08	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-0	11	7	D
21/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
16/08	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-5	0-8	1	4	L
08/08	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
31/07	LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
16/05	FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a WSG Swarovski Tirol win (37%). Probabilities: WSG Swarovski Tirol 37%, draw 27%, Grazer AK 37%.

How many goals are expected in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK?

The model expects 3.12 goals (WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.56 · Grazer AK 1.56), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in WSG Swarovski Tirol vs Grazer AK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.