Football · Austria Bundesliga · 25/10, 17:00

Prediction: LASK Linz vs FC Salzburg

Team pages: LASK Linz · FC Salzburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.58Total

LASK Linz1.92

FC Salzburg1.66

1X2

43% 24% 33%

LASK Linz Draw FC Salzburg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

LASK Linz 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLDLW

FC Salzburg 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

LWDWWWDWDW

Head-to-head

LASK Linz 3–1–2 FC Salzburg (6 last)

LASK Linz2-1FC Salzburg
FC Salzburg2-3LASK Linz
LASK Linz1-5FC Salzburg
FC Salzburg3-0LASK Linz
LASK Linz1-1FC Salzburg
FC Salzburg1-2LASK Linz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · LASK Linz 1580 · FC Salzburg 1555

	LASK Linz	Draw	FC Salzburg
Our model	43%	24%	33%
Market	43%	25%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.58 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours LASK Linz: 3-1-2.
High corners: 15.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	LASK Linz	FC Salzburg
Goals for / against (FT)	2.6 / 0.9	2.2 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 7.9	4.6 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.3	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.80

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 16:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.20▲	Bet365 2.20
X	3.75 → 3.80▲	Pinn 3.92 ★
2	2.80 → 2.90▲	Pinn 2.94

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 6.3% Pinnacle margin 5%

Time*	1	X	2
00:19 +3’	2.15	3.75	2.80
16:21 +3’	2.20▲	3.80▲	2.90▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:08 +254’	2.17	3.98	2.96
06:51 +21’	2.18▲	4.01▲	2.91▼
08:30 +43’	2.15▼	4.02▲	2.96▲
16:52 +31’	2.17▲	3.93▼	2.98▲
08:24 +51’	2.24▲	3.93	2.86▼
18:29 +11’	2.25▲	3.91▼	2.86
04:06 +26’	2.20▼	3.92▲	2.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · LASK Linz 3–1–2 FC Salzburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	2-1 HT 2-0	FC Salzburg
10/04/26 Austria Bundesliga	FC Salzburg	2-3 HT 1-1	LASK Linz
22/02/26 Austria Bundesliga	LASK Linz	1-5 HT 1-3	FC Salzburg
23/08/25 Austria Bundesliga	FC Salzburg	3-0 HT 2-0	LASK Linz
02/02/25 Austria Cup	LASK Linz	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Salzburg
23/11/24 Austria Bundesliga	FC Salzburg	1-2 HT 0-0	LASK Linz

Standings · Austria Bundesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Rapid Vienna	9	8	0	1	26	8	24
2	FC Salzburg	9	6	3	0	21	4	21
3	LASK Linz	9	6	1	2	23	9	19
4	SK Sturm Graz	9	5	2	2	16	10	17
5	SV Ried	9	4	2	3	16	15	14
6	WSG Swarovski Tirol	9	3	2	4	12	14	11
7	Hartberg	9	3	2	4	15	19	11
8	Grazer AK	9	2	3	4	7	22	9
9	Austria Lustenau	9	2	2	5	11	19	8
10	FK Austria Vienna	9	2	1	6	9	18	7
11	SCR Altach	9	2	0	7	8	15	6
12	Wolfsberger AC	9	1	2	6	7	18	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	LASK Linz	FC Salzburg
Rapid Vienna	0-2 L	5-1 W
Hartberg	3-3 D	1-0 W
SK Sturm Graz	1-2 L	3-0 W
Wolfsberger AC	3-1 W	1-1 D
SCR Altach	3-0 W	3-0 W
SV Ried	4-1 W	1-1 D
FK Austria Vienna	2-0 W	4-1 W
Grazer AK	3-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Salzburg (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

LASK Linz

WWWWWWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga	0-0	4-0	12	2	W
11/10	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
20/09	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-3	9	4	D
13/09	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
01/09	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-1	3-1	14	5	W
29/08	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	4	6	W
14/08	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	3-1	4-1	6	4	W
09/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	0-0	2-0	11	5	W
31/07	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
17/05	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	5	2	W

FC Salzburg

LWDWWWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga	1-0	3-0	6	1	W
10/10	Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
20/09	SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga	0-0	3-0	3	3	W
11/09	SV Ried Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
02/09	Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga	3-0	5-1	2	1	W
30/08	FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga	3-0	4-1	7	2	W
16/08	WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga	2-0	3-0	7	3	W
09/08	Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
01/08	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	0-0	1-0	19	0	W
17/05	Hartberg Austria Bundesliga	0-2	1-3	13	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in LASK Linz vs FC Salzburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a LASK Linz win (43%). Probabilities: LASK Linz 43%, draw 24%, FC Salzburg 33%.

How many goals are expected in LASK Linz vs FC Salzburg?

The model expects 3.58 goals (LASK Linz 1.92 · FC Salzburg 1.66), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in LASK Linz vs FC Salzburg?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.