Football · Austria Bundesliga · 18/10, 14:30
Prediction: Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Swarovski Tirol
Team pages: Wolfsberger AC · WSG Swarovski Tirol
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Wolfsberger AC1.41
WSG Swarovski Tirol1.33
1X2
Wolfsberger AC
Draw
WSG Swarovski Tirol
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Wolfsberger AC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WSG Swarovski Tirol
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wolfsberger AC
1–3–2
WSG Swarovski Tirol
(6 last)
- Wolfsberger AC2-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol3-1Wolfsberger AC
- Wolfsberger AC0-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol1-1Wolfsberger AC
- WSG Swarovski Tirol3-3Wolfsberger AC
- Wolfsberger AC1-3WSG Swarovski Tirol
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wolfsberger AC 1469 · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1515
| Wolfsberger AC | Draw | WSG Swarovski Tirol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours WSG Swarovski Tirol (rating 1469 vs 1515).
- H2H favours WSG Swarovski Tirol: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wolfsberger AC | WSG Swarovski Tirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.1 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wolfsberger AC 1–3–2 WSG Swarovski Tirol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Austria Bundesliga | Wolfsberger AC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
| 04/04/26 Austria Bundesliga | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 3-1 HT 0-1 | Wolfsberger AC |
| 02/11/25 Austria Bundesliga | Wolfsberger AC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
| 31/08/25 Austria Bundesliga | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Wolfsberger AC |
| 22/02/25 Austria Bundesliga | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 3-3 HT 1-1 | Wolfsberger AC |
| 29/09/24 Austria Bundesliga | Wolfsberger AC | 1-3 HT 0-0 | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
Standings · Austria Bundesliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Salzburg | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 4 | 18 |
| 3 | LASK Linz | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | SK Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 14 |
| 5 | Hartberg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
| 6 | SV Ried | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 7 | Grazer AK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 9 |
| 8 | WSG Swarovski Tirol | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 9 | Austria Lustenau | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 8 |
| 10 | FK Austria Vienna | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 7 |
| 11 | SCR Altach | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 6 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Wolfsberger AC | WSG Swarovski Tirol |
|---|---|---|
| SCR Altach | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| SV Ried | 1-4 L | 1-2 L |
| Rapid Vienna | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Austria Lustenau | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| FC Salzburg | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| FK Austria Vienna | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: WSG Swarovski Tirol (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wolfsberger AC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/09 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 01/09 | LASK Linz Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Grazer AK Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 02/08 | FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | WSG Swarovski Tirol Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
WSG Swarovski Tirol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | SV Ried Austria Bundesliga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Rapid Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 13/09 | Hartberg Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | D |
| 02/09 | FK Austria Vienna Austria Bundesliga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 28/08 | Austria Lustenau Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 16/08 | FC Salzburg Austria Bundesliga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | SCR Altach Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 01/08 | SK Sturm Graz Austria Bundesliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Wolfsberger AC Austria Bundesliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | FC Blau Weiss Linz Austria Bundesliga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wolfsberger AC win (38%). Probabilities: Wolfsberger AC 38%, draw 27%, WSG Swarovski Tirol 35%.
How many goals are expected in Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Wolfsberger AC 1.41 · WSG Swarovski Tirol 1.33), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Swarovski Tirol?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.