Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Grimsby vs Blackpool
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.83Total
Grimsby1.47
Blackpool1.36
1X2
Grimsby
Draw
Blackpool
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Grimsby
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Blackpool
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Grimsby
1–1–0
Blackpool
(2 last)
- Blackpool1-3Grimsby
- Grimsby0-0Blackpool
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grimsby 1591 · Blackpool 1516
| Grimsby | Draw | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| Market | 39% | 26% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Grimsby (rating 1591 vs 1516).
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grimsby | Blackpool | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.6 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.7 | 3.9 / 6.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.4 / 0 | 1.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grimsby 1–1–0 Blackpool
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/17 England League 2 | Blackpool | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Grimsby |
| 31/12/16 England League 2 | Grimsby | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Blackpool |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grimsby
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Wigan UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Boston Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 28/07 | Lincoln City UK Friendlies |
3-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Hartlepool UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | FC Zorya Lugansk Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/07 | Cleethorpes Town Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 15/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Salford City England League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 25/04 | Swindon England League 2 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
Blackpool
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Port Vale UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Barrow UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 18/07 | Tranmere UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | AFC Fylde UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Reading England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Wycombe England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Stevenage England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Exeter England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grimsby vs Blackpool?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grimsby win (39%). Probabilities: Grimsby 39%, draw 27%, Blackpool 34%.
How many goals are expected in Grimsby vs Blackpool?
The model expects 2.83 goals (Grimsby 1.47 · Blackpool 1.36), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Grimsby vs Blackpool?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.