Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.46Total
Fleetwood Town1.18
Chesterfield1.28
1X2
Fleetwood Town
Draw
Chesterfield
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fleetwood Town
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Chesterfield
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Fleetwood Town
3–2–1
Chesterfield
(6 last)
- Fleetwood Town1-1Chesterfield
- Chesterfield1-1Fleetwood Town
- Chesterfield3-0Fleetwood Town
- Fleetwood Town2-0Chesterfield
- Fleetwood Town2-0Chesterfield
- Fleetwood Town2-1Chesterfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fleetwood Town 1556 · Chesterfield 1527
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Market | 34% | 27% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.46 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Fleetwood Town: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fleetwood Town | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.1 | 2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Fleetwood Town 3–2–1 Chesterfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 England League 2 | Fleetwood Town | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chesterfield |
| 18/10/25 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Fleetwood Town |
| 12/04/25 England League 2 | Chesterfield | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Fleetwood Town |
| 26/12/24 England League 2 | Fleetwood Town | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chesterfield |
| 05/12/17 England EFL Trophy | Fleetwood Town | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chesterfield |
| 19/11/16 England League 1 | Fleetwood Town | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chesterfield |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fleetwood Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Hartlepool UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 28/07 | Bolton UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 21/07 | Huddersfield UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Southport Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/07 | Chester UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Bamber Bridge Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Chesterfield England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 11/04 | Accrington Stanley England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
Chesterfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Halifax UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Sheff Utd UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/07 | Clay Cross Town FC Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | Notts County England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Swindon England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Crewe England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Fleetwood Town England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 14/04 | Grimsby England League 2 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Tranmere England League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chesterfield win (38%). Probabilities: Fleetwood Town 34%, draw 28%, Chesterfield 38%.
How many goals are expected in Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?
The model expects 2.46 goals (Fleetwood Town 1.18 · Chesterfield 1.28), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Fleetwood Town vs Chesterfield?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.