Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Bromley vs Reading
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.91Total
Bromley1.61
Reading1.3
1X2
Bromley
Draw
Reading
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bromley
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Reading
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bromley 1479 · Reading 1546
| Bromley | Draw | Reading | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 43% | 28% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Reading (rating 1479 vs 1546).
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bromley | Reading | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.9 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.9 / 0.1 | 2.6 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bromley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Barnet UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 31/07 | QPR UK Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-7 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 28/07 | Millwall UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Crystal Palace Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | West Brom UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Walsall England League 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 23/04 | Salford City England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 16/04 | Cambridge Utd England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Milton Keynes Dons England League 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 07/04 | Shrewsbury England League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
Reading
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Charlton UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | Crawley Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 28/07 | Newport County UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/07 | Woking UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Getafe Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 11/07 | Farnborough UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Rotherham England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Cardiff England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 11/04 | Doncaster England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bromley vs Reading?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bromley win (43%). Probabilities: Bromley 43%, draw 27%, Reading 29%.
How many goals are expected in Bromley vs Reading?
The model expects 2.91 goals (Bromley 1.61 · Reading 1.3), with a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Bromley vs Reading?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.