Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 14:00

Prediction: Cambridge Utd vs Barnet

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Cambridge Utd1.62
Barnet0.93
1X2
53% 26% 21%
Cambridge Utd Draw Barnet
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Cambridge Utd 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
DWDLWDWWWD
Barnet 5-4-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWDDLDD
Head-to-head
Cambridge Utd 1–1–4 Barnet (6 last)
  • Barnet1-0Cambridge Utd
  • Cambridge Utd0-0Barnet
  • Barnet3-2Cambridge Utd
  • Barnet2-0Cambridge Utd
  • Cambridge Utd1-0Barnet
  • Barnet3-1Cambridge Utd
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cambridge Utd 1539 · Barnet 1558
Cambridge UtdDrawBarnet
Our model52%27%20%
Market54%24%22%
Estimated total (ours) 2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Barnet: 4-1-1.
  • High corners: 12.3 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Cambridge UtdBarnet
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.52 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.21.2 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)56/44/0%20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3 / 5.93.9 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2 / 0.11.6 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cambridge Utd 114 Barnet

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
England League 2
Barnet1-0
HT 0-0
Cambridge Utd
15/11/25
England League 2
Cambridge Utd0-0
HT 0-0
Barnet
21/10/25
England EFL Trophy
Barnet3-2
HT 1-2
Cambridge Utd
29/07/23
Club Friendly List
Barnet2-0
HT 2-0
Cambridge Utd
26/12/17
England League 2
Cambridge Utd1-0
HT 0-0
Barnet
09/09/17
England League 2
Barnet3-1
HT 1-0
Cambridge Utd

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCambridge UtdBarnet
Bromley 0-0 D 1-1 D
Notts County 4-0 W 2-1 W
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Cambridge Utd (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cambridge Utd

DWDLWDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/07 Northampton
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 70 D
24/07 Preston
UK Friendlies
1-0 1-0 21 W
14/07 Southend
Club Friendly List
2-1 W
11/07 Cambridge City
UK Friendlies
2-1 3-1 W
02/05 Crewe
England League 2
0-0 0-0 64 D
25/04 Barrow
England League 2
1-0 3-0 103 W
21/04 Grimsby
England League 2
1-1 1-2 62 L
16/04 Bromley
England League 2
0-0 0-0 63 D
11/04 Notts County
England League 2
3-0 4-0 43 W
06/04 Cheltenham
England League 2
1-0 1-1 61 D

Barnet

WWWWWDDLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Bromley
UK Friendlies
1-1 1-1 100 D
28/07 Milton Keynes Dons
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-0 61 D
25/07 Oxford Utd
UK Friendlies
0-1 1-2 22 L
18/07 Luton
UK Friendlies
1-1 2-2 70 D
14/07 Watford
UK Friendlies
1-1 2-2 40 D
11/07 Hemel Hempstead
Club Friendly List
1-1 2-1 W
07/07 Hitchin
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 W
02/05 Harrogate Town
England League 2
1-1 2-1 64 W
25/04 Gillingham
England League 2
5-1 6-2 94 W
18/04 Notts County
England League 2
1-1 2-1 72 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cambridge Utd vs Barnet?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cambridge Utd win (53%). Probabilities: Cambridge Utd 53%, draw 26%, Barnet 21%.

How many goals are expected in Cambridge Utd vs Barnet?

The model expects 2.55 goals (Cambridge Utd 1.62 · Barnet 0.93), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cambridge Utd vs Barnet?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.