Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Stockport vs Doncaster

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.09Total
Stockport1.96
Doncaster1.13
1X2
55% 24% 20%
Stockport Draw Doncaster
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Stockport 7-0-3 (W-D-L)
LWLWWWLWWW
Doncaster 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDWWWWDDLL
Head-to-head
Stockport 5–1–0 Doncaster (6 last)
  • Doncaster0-1Stockport
  • Stockport4-2Doncaster
  • Doncaster0-2Stockport
  • Doncaster1-5Stockport
  • Stockport1-0Doncaster
  • Stockport0-0Doncaster
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Stockport 1572 · Doncaster 1508
StockportDrawDoncaster
Our model56%24%21%
Market55%24%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Stockport (rating 1572 vs 1508).
  • H2H favours Stockport: 5-1-0.
  • High corners: 11 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StockportDoncaster
Goals for / against (FT)1.5 / 0.91.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.40.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/60/10%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 6.61.6 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 0.21.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Stockport 510 Doncaster

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DateHomeScoreAway
03/03/26
England EFL Trophy
Doncaster0-1
HT 0-1
Stockport
29/12/25
England League 1
Stockport4-2
HT 1-1
Doncaster
09/12/25
England League 1
Doncaster0-2
HT 0-0
Stockport
27/01/24
England League 2
Doncaster1-5
HT 0-3
Stockport
07/10/23
England League 2
Stockport1-0
HT 0-0
Doncaster
04/03/23
England League 2
Stockport0-0
HT 0-0
Doncaster

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStockportDoncaster
Stevenage 2-0 W 1-1 D
Peterborough 3-1 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Stockport (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Stockport

LWLWWWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Preston
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 40 W
28/07 Oldham
UK Friendlies
0-0 1-0 81 W
17/07 Bristol City
UK Friendlies
1-0 2-0 40 W
24/05 Bolton
England League 1
1-1 1-4 23 L
13/05 Stevenage
England League 1
2-0 2-0 73 W
09/05 Stevenage
England League 1
0-0 1-0 103 W
02/05 Barnsley
England League 1
1-0 3-1 115 W
28/04 Port Vale
England League 1
0-2 1-2 72 L
25/04 Peterborough
England League 1
1-1 3-1 73 W
21/04 Mansfield
England League 1
0-0 0-1 68 L

Doncaster

LDWWWWDDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Lincoln City
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-1 50 L
29/07 Wolverhampton
UK Friendlies
0-0 0-2 40 L
25/07 Gainsborough
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-0 D
25/07 Harrogate Town
UK Friendlies
0-2 2-2 80 D
18/07 Linfield
UK Friendlies
2-0 2-0 110 W
16/07 Glenavon
UK Friendlies
4-0 5-0 10 W
14/07 St Patricks
Europe Friendlies
3-0 4-2 31 W
02/05 Peterborough
England League 1
0-0 3-1 34 W
25/04 Stevenage
England League 1
0-1 1-1 43 D
21/04 Lincoln City
England League 1
0-1 0-2 13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Stockport vs Doncaster?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Stockport win (55%). Probabilities: Stockport 55%, draw 24%, Doncaster 20%.

How many goals are expected in Stockport vs Doncaster?

The model expects 3.09 goals (Stockport 1.96 · Doncaster 1.13), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Stockport vs Doncaster?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.