Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: Burton Albion vs Blackburn
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.17Total
Burton Albion0.98
Blackburn1.19
1X2
Burton Albion
Draw
Blackburn
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Burton Albion
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Blackburn
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Burton Albion
0–2–0
Blackburn
(2 last)
- Burton Albion1-1Blackburn
- Blackburn2-2Burton Albion
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Burton Albion 1494 · Blackburn 1496
| Burton Albion | Draw | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 32% | 40% |
| Market | 30% | 28% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Burton Albion | Blackburn | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.2 | 1.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.7 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Burton Albion 0–2–0 Blackburn
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/17 England Championship | Burton Albion | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Blackburn |
| 20/08/16 England Championship | Blackburn | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Burton Albion |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Burton Albion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Derby UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 28/07 | Solihull Moors UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 22/07 | Birmingham UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Leicester UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Alfreton Town UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Leyton Orient England League 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Exeter England League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 19/04 | Peterborough England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | AFC Wimbledon England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/04 | Mansfield England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Blackburn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Huddersfield UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Strasbourg Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/07 | Nottm Forest Elite Club Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Accrington Stanley UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Leicester England Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Sheff Utd England Championship |
3-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/04 | Coventry England Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 14/04 | Southampton England Championship |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Stoke England Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 06/04 | West Brom England Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Burton Albion vs Blackburn?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Blackburn win (41%). Probabilities: Burton Albion 30%, draw 30%, Blackburn 41%.
How many goals are expected in Burton Albion vs Blackburn?
The model expects 2.17 goals (Burton Albion 0.98 · Blackburn 1.19), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Burton Albion vs Blackburn?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.