Football · England EFL Cup · 08/08, 16:00
Prediction: West Ham vs Portsmouth
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
West Ham2.01
Portsmouth0.94
1X2
West Ham
Draw
Portsmouth
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
West Ham
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Portsmouth
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · West Ham 1518 · Portsmouth 1512
| West Ham | Draw | Portsmouth | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 23% | 16% |
| Market | 62% | 21% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| West Ham | Portsmouth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.5 | 2.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 1.3 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
West Ham
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Magdeburg Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/07 | Rangers Elite Club Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 22/07 | Stevenage UK Friendlies |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/07 | Southend UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Everton England Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 20/04 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Portsmouth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Darmstadt Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 29/07 | Farnborough UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 25/07 | Wycombe UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | Bristol Rovers UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 15/07 | Aldershot UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 14/07 | Woking UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Birmingham England Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Stoke England Championship |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 21/04 | Coventry England Championship |
0-1 | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Leicester England Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in West Ham vs Portsmouth?
According to our model, the most likely result is a West Ham win (62%). Probabilities: West Ham 62%, draw 22%, Portsmouth 16%.
How many goals are expected in West Ham vs Portsmouth?
The model expects 2.94 goals (West Ham 2.01 · Portsmouth 0.94), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in West Ham vs Portsmouth?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.