Football · England EFL Cup · 07/08, 20:45
Prediction: Wycombe vs Stevenage
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
Wycombe1.47
Stevenage1.25
1X2
Wycombe
Draw
Stevenage
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Wycombe
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Stevenage
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Wycombe
3–3
Stevenage
(6 last)
- Wycombe3-1Stevenage
- Stevenage1-0Wycombe
- Wycombe1-0Stevenage
- Stevenage0-3Wycombe
- Stevenage1-0Wycombe
- Wycombe0-1Stevenage
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Wycombe 1467 · Stevenage 1505
| Wycombe | Draw | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Wycombe | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.3 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 1.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Wycombe 3–0–3 Stevenage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 England League 1 | Wycombe | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Stevenage |
| 30/08/25 England League 1 | Stevenage | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Wycombe |
| 12/04/25 England League 1 | Wycombe | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Stevenage |
| 26/12/24 England League 1 | Stevenage | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Wycombe |
| 24/02/24 England League 1 | Stevenage | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Wycombe |
| 11/11/23 England League 1 | Wycombe | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Stevenage |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Wycombe
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Ipswich Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Yeovil Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Portsmouth UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 21/07 | Farnham Club Friendly List |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/07 | QPR UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Rotherham England League 1 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Blackpool England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Huddersfield England League 1 |
1-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/04 | Bradford England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Stevenage
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Colchester UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 2 | W |
| 25/07 | Millwall UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | West Ham UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 0-5 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | FC Andorra Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | Stockport England League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Wigan England League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Doncaster England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 21/04 | Barnsley England League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Lincoln City England League 1 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Wycombe vs Stevenage?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Wycombe win (41%). Probabilities: Wycombe 41%, draw 27%, Stevenage 31%.
How many goals are expected in Wycombe vs Stevenage?
The model expects 2.71 goals (Wycombe 1.47 · Stevenage 1.25), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Wycombe vs Stevenage?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.