Football · England EFL Cup · 07/08, 20:45
Prediction: Bristol City vs Walsall
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.35Total
Bristol City2.31
Walsall1.03
1X2
Bristol City
Draw
Walsall
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bristol City
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Walsall
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bristol City
2–1–0
Walsall
(3 last)
- Bristol City8-2Walsall
- Bristol City2-0Walsall
- Walsall1-1Bristol City
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bristol City 1504 · Walsall 1430
| Bristol City | Draw | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 20% | 15% |
| Market | 66% | 19% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bristol City (rating 1504 vs 1430).
- H2H favours Bristol City: 2-1-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bristol City | Walsall | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 0.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 2.2 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.1 / 0 | 1.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bristol City 2–1–0 Walsall
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/15 England League 1 | Bristol City | 8-2 HT 2-2 | Walsall |
| 22/03/15 England EFL Trophy | Bristol City | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Walsall |
| 04/10/14 England League 1 | Walsall | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Bristol City |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bristol City
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Exeter UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 01/08 | Plymouth UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 29/07 | Newcastle Elite Club Friendlies |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 29/07 | Forest Green UK Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Swindon UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 17/07 | Stockport UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Stoke England Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Birmingham England Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 21/04 | Southampton England Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Norwich England Championship |
1-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
Walsall
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Notts County UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | AFC Telford UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 21/07 | Aston Villa Elite Club Friendlies |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | Leamington UK Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 02/05 | Bromley England League 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Harrogate Town England League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Barrow England League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Cheltenham England League 2 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 06/04 | Swindon England League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Gillingham England League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bristol City vs Walsall?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bristol City win (66%). Probabilities: Bristol City 66%, draw 20%, Walsall 15%.
How many goals are expected in Bristol City vs Walsall?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Bristol City 2.31 · Walsall 1.03), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Bristol City vs Walsall?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.